KEMPTON PARK RACES 2016 -- WEDNESDAY NIGHTS #37 30th NOVEMBER

End of November now and only one month left ahead of us for this year, as we progress to this our 37th meeting of the season we do remain in good form with a couple of nice winners last time out means we carry on in profit. Add that to the success of the season long "lay bets" too which has been impressive given they are generally short price favourites.

The fact that our results are declared to SP I think it's clear we would be much further ahead to advanced prices. We crack on with our regular Wednesday nights at Kempton all the way through until the years end. The season has seen us ebb and flow, last week we picked up another couple of winners and therefore showing a profit of +21.01 points. All being equal we can find some more winners and now continue through into the turn of the year.

As always our focus will be on the handicap contests for each meeting but will occasionally include a feature listed or conditions event too. Keeping records of our endeavors to a 1pt level stake at SP, naturally we will personally be looking to get better odds but for the purpose of the results we record to SP.

We will also keep up with our occasional lay opportunity of short priced favourites, we failed with our last LAY bet [we've only had three failures all season] which isn't bad when most are short prices as a result we have a success rate of 17 from 20. Results for this will be kept separately too and hopefully we can remain at +85% for the rest of the year.

This week there's another eight race card on offer, we have five handicap contests to review and tonight's action will commence at 16:25 with a 5f Handicap contest. 

Here is a link to this weeks race card; EVENING RACE CARD

The going on the polytrack surface is described as Standard to Slow and the current weather forecast is for a dry day with a max temperature of about 6C when the meeting gets underway and remain cold but dry during the evening. The weather is predictable for Winter is upon us now and it's time to get the gloves and jumpers out, and it'll be time for the King George meeting too in a month.

Here are our selections for this evening's handicap races;

16:25 -- 5f Handicap.
Our opening contest on a fairly uninspiring card has attracted a field of 10 runners and it's the two last time out winners ASK THE GURU and LADY JOANNA VASSA that will probably dominate the market. I can't fancy those even in this poor grade at their forecast prices so will chance TASAABOQ [6th 16/1] against this pair. 

16:55 -- 5f Handicap.
The best event on the card is this class 4 sprint and that's a clear indication of how bad tonight is, despite DYNAMO WALT appearing again (having won nicely for us three weeks back) looks too short this time and we'll be backing last years winner BURNING THREAD [8th 12/1].

18:55 -- 1m Handicap.Recently the high draw hasn't stopped us finding a few winners so we are not put off that our two selections for this event have stalls 10 and 11. BELIEVE IT [8th 15/2] and MUSIC MAJOR [2nd 7/1] have recent good form and the latter should be hard to keep out of the frame based on last two wins at this venue over the mile trip. 
 
19:25 -- 1m 4f Handicap.
A high draw won this last year and the jockey booking for Josephine Gordon for DARK AMBER [4th 10/1] as she takes over from a number of claiming jockeys, rates a good chance after a month break at 10/1. 

Will also include another 6yo MRS BURBIDGE [Non Runner] who has been mixing hurdles with staying flat races and should be fit enough to make this a good test of stamina.

19:55 -- 7f Handicap.
We conclude with this 7f contest, good luck if you managed to come of this meeting ahead, there's 14 declared so we will go with a pair against the field. BLACKTHORN STICK [9th 16/1] though drawn high does have winning form here and along with ARCANISTA [4th 7/1] can be considered value against the rest. 

Staked -- 8 points
Returns -- 1 point.

Results for tonight will be updated throughout the evening looking to add to the current overall profit figure +21.01.

No winners this week, so with the non runner we lost 7 points brings us down to +14.01 to take forward into December.
Lays -- 17/20. 

Our next Wednesday evening meeting at this course will be on 7th December, it's back to a regular weekly fixture till the end of the year so see you next week.

KEMPTON PARK RACES 2016 -- WEDNESDAY NIGHTS #36 23rd NOVEMBER

Not long to go this year and we still carry on in profit, as we progress to this our 36th meeting of the season we do seem to be in good form and the success of the season long "lay bets" too has been impressive given they are generally short price favourites.

The fact that our results are declared to SP I think it's clear we would be well ahead to advanced prices. So we crack on with our regular Wednesday nights at Kempton all the way through until the years end. The season has seen us ebb and flow, last week we picked up another couple of points and therefore showing a profit of +6.51 points. All being equal we can find some more winners and now continue through into the turn of the year.

As always our focus will be on the handicap contests for each meeting but will occasionally include a feature listed or conditions event too. Keeping records of our endeavours to a 1pt level stake at SP, naturally we will personally be looking to get better odds but for the purpose of the results we record to SP.

We will keep up with our occasional lay opportunity of short priced favourites, we failed with our last LAY bet last week [we've only had three failures all season] which isn't bad when most are short prices as a result we now have a success rate of 17 from 20. Results for this will be kept separately too and hopefully we can remain at +85% for the rest of the year.

This week there's another eight race card on offer, we have four handicap contests to review and tonight's action will commence at 16:25 with a 1m 2f maiden contest for 2yo's. 

Here is a link to this evening's race card;
EVENING RACECARD

The going on the polytrack surface is described as Standard to Slow and the current weather forecast is for a dry evening with a max temperature of about 8C when the meeting gets underway and remain cold but dry during the evening. The weather is predictable for Winter is drawing near now and it's time to get the gloves and jumpers out.

Here are our selections for this evening's handicap races, don't have much time so just able to update with selections this week and hopefully back to normal next week;

16:55 -- 7f Handicap.
SUMMERSAULT [WON 17/2]  /  SHOWTIME BLUES [7th 8/1].

18:25 -- 6f Handicap.
THE BIG LAD [5th 6/1]  /  CINDERS [11th 16/1]. 
 
19:25 -- 6f Handicap.
The best handicap race of the night has attracted a field of twelve where the first selection is JUSTICE GOOD [WON 12/1] who has been campaigned at this level (and above) so it's good that he will have a chance of this mark of 95 having been as high as 109 this season, is priced about 12/1 and that's a good win/place option 

The other selection in this event is GENTLEMEN [3rd 20/1] who having won 7 out of 22 starts, including here off a mark only 1lb lower than his current rating of 94. With that and a 3lb claimer in the saddle should be up there too and 20/1 is a nice price if the wide draw can be overcome.

19:55 -- 1m Apprentice Series Handicap.
OUTLAW TORN [8th 14/1]  /  PLAY THE BLUES [9th 33/1]. 

Staked -- 8 points
Returns -- 22.5 points.

Results for tonight will be updated through the evening looking to add to the overall profit figure +6.51. Won the opening handicap so we already assured of a profit no matter how the rest fare. Looks like it could be a good night, and it was indeed with a 14.5 point increase in profit we are now +21.01 ahead.

Lays -- 17/20.


Our next Wednesday evening meeting at this course will be on 30th November, it's back to a regular weekly fixture till the end of the year so see you next week.

KEMPTON PARK RACES 2016 -- WEDNESDAY NIGHTS #35 16th NOVEMBER

Not long to go this year and we still carry on in profit, as we progress to the 35th meeting of the season we do seem to be in good form and the success of the season long "lay bets" too has been impressive given they are generally short price favourites.

The fact that our results are declared to SP I think it's clear we would be well ahead to advanced prices. So we crack on with our regular Wednesday nights at Kempton all the way through until the years end. The season has seen us ebb and flow, last week we picked up another couple of points and therefore showing a profit of +5.91 points. All being equal we can find some more winners and now continue through into the turn of the year.

As always our focus will be on the handicap contests for each meeting but will occasionally include a feature listed or conditions event too. Keeping records of our endeavours to a 1pt level stake at SP, naturally we will personally be looking to get better odds but for the purpose of the results we record to SP.

We will keep up with our occasional lay opportunity of short priced favourites, we were back with another successful lay last week [we've only had two failures all season, both of which were odds on favs] which isn't bad when most are short prices as a result we now have a success rate of 17 from 20. Results for this will be kept separately too and hopefully we can remain at +85% for the rest of the year.

This week there's another eight race card on offer, we have three handicap contests to review and tonight's action will commence at 16:10 with a 1m 2f handicap. We will also include the 18:40 Listed event over 1m. 

Here is a link to this evening's race card;
EVENING RACECARD

The going on the polytrack surface is described as Standard to Slow and the current weather forecast is for a dry evening with a max temperature of about 8C when the meeting gets underway and remain cold but dry during the evening. The weather is predictable for Winter is drawing near now and it's time to get the gloves and jumpers out.
Here are our selections for this evening's handicap races and the listed event at 6:40pm;

16:10 -- 1m 2f Handicap.
Fourteen declared for the opening handicap and it's a belated 3yo appearance this season for bottom weight ZORAVAN [9th 7/1] , ex Dermot Weld inmate and could be thrown in here on his UK debut.

18:40 -- 1m Listed Stakes.
The 3yo ENNAADD [WON 5/2] will have to improve again to land the four timer but looks on the upgrade and won here comfortably last time out although the winning margin was officially a head seemed to have much more than that as long as his jockey doesn't leave it too late this time.

Sovereign Debt has the class to cause them all problems but doesn't have the same level of form on the AW than on Good/Soft ground. 
 
19:10 -- 2m Handicap.
The stayers handicap has attracted a dozen runners, where top weight might not stop ORIENTAL FOX [9th 20/1] who stays longer than the mother in law and has enjoyed recent success at Pontefract. Consistency is the key to HIGHER POWER [WON 11/10F] and stepping up in trip might be the trick to another win for a horse that has been placed on his last six outings.

19:40 -- 1m 4f Handicap.
The finale tonight can go to Godolphin with their 3yo TIMEKEEPING [4th Evens], only had the two runs last year and should be good enough to justify strong support. 

Staked -- 5 points
Returns -- 5.6 points.

Results for tonight will be updated through the evening looking to add to the overall profit figure +5.91. We made a small gain tonight, the profit value now up to +6.51.

Lays -- 17/20. [17:40 - CHESSMAN [WON 9/4], boooo. racecourse debut here for John Gosden, with Hadeeqa the big danger.]

Our next Wednesday evening meeting at this course will be on 23rd November, it's back to a regular weekly fixture till the end of the year so see you next week.

FA CUP 1ST ROUND REPLAY -- WIMBLEDON vs BURY TUESDAY 15th NOVEMBER 2016

Having drawn non league opposition in the 2nd round we still have to finish off BURY tonight back at Kingsmeadow on Tuesday night. Get past them tonight and a 3rd round tie against potential top draw opposition must be on everyone's mind. BUT that would be foolish, especially the way Bury went into a 2-0 lead in the first game so we must focus, support the boys and get through. Would be good to have a decent cup run this season although the main priorities are consolidation in the league and of course the huge news that we are soon to be going HOME to Plough Lane, great times to be a Womble. 

LAST TIME


Bury 2 (Hope 27, 29) 
v
AFC Wimbledon 2 (Taylor 61, Elliott 67)

The boys were on a decent run of form in the league prior to last weekends goal less draw with Oldham and we should be confident of making it through into Round Two against a Bury side that is expected to be missing several regular players again. The winners of this tie will play National League North side Curzon Ashton in round two. 

And of course having played them 3 times in the last week or so who do we have at home on Saturday....Bury !

Updates will be published with team news and more as and when it comes through. 

Line Ups (Confirmed);

AFC WIMBLEDON

Odds -- 23/20 (William Hill) 

Shea (Gk),  Fuller (c), Robertson,  Robinson,  Meades,  Francomb,  Parrett,  Barcham,  Reeves,  Taylor,  Whelpdale

Subs – McDonnell (Gk),  Nightingale,  Barnett,  Fitzpatrick,  Poleon,  Egan,  Owens

BURY
Odds -- 21/10 (William Hill) 

Williams (Gk),  Danns,  Barnett,  Kay,  Leigh,  Mayor,  Soares,  Mellis,  Tutte,  Vaughan,  Hope  

Subs – Rachubka (Gk),  Dudley,  Burgess,  Maher,  Walker,  Miller,  Bedeau



H/T Score – 3 - 0

First Half Comment;

The match takes on a similar feel to the opening tie, only this time it's the Dons that strike early in the opening half to take a 2 goal lead, first goal on 27 mins AFC Wimbledon 1, Bury 0. Paul Robinson scores for AFC Wimbledon sticking his boot onto a free kick giving the keeper no chance. And then on 32 mins AFC Wimbledon 2, Bury 0. Dean Parrett buries the second for the Dons into the bottom left corner. 

And before half time the killer blow from Dominic Poleon making it 3-0 and that should be that really. Half time come on you Dons, live TV Game to come against Curzon Ashton.

F/T Score – 5 - 0

Match Summary;
With the game over as a contest by half time there wasn't much to report in the second half, the referee continued to keep himself busy with a flurry of cards though. And just to rub it in, Dominic Poleon scores his second of the match to make it 4-0 with another 20 mins to play.

Lyle Taylor wrapped up the scoring with 10 mins left.  

My Man of the Match – Dominic Poleon.

Referee -- John Brooks only 26 from Melton Mowbray. Is one the premier league select list as an assistant referee and gets his chance in the middle for our FA Cup replay tonight. Hope he's decent.

Attendance – 2,316.

Next match:
vs BURY (yes, again) Home
League One Saturday 19th November 3:00pm 

KEMPTON PARK RACES 2016 -- WEDNESDAY NIGHTS #34 9th NOVEMBER

November time and still in profit so as we progress to the 34th meeting of the season we do seem to be in good form and the success of the season long "lay bets" too has been impressive given they are generally short price favourites. 

The fact that our results are declared to SP I think it's clear we would be well ahead to advanced prices. So we crack on with our regular Wednesday nights at Kempton all the way through until the years end. The season has seen us ebb and flow, currently we have managed to turn our loss back into a small profit of +3.91 points. All being equal we can find some more winners and now continue through into the turn of the year.

As always our focus will be on the handicap contests for each meeting but will occasionally include a feature listed or conditions event too. Keeping records of our endeavours to a 1pt level stake at SP, naturally we will personally be looking to get better odds but for the purpose of the results we record to SP.

We will keep up with our occasional lay opportunity of short priced favourites, we were back with another successful lay last week [we've only had two failures all season, both of which were odds on favs] which isn't bad when most are short prices as a result we now have a success rate of 15 from 17. Results for this will be kept separately too and hopefully we can remain at +88% for the rest of the year.

This week there's another eight race card on offer, we have four handicap contests to review and tonight's action will commence at 16:25 with a 5f sprint handicap.

Here is a link to this evening's race card;
EVENING RACECARD

The going on the polytrack surface is described as Standard to Slow and the current weather forecast is for a dry evening with a max temperature of about 8C when the meeting gets underway and remain cold but dry during the evening. The weather is predictable for Winter is drawing near now and it's time to get the gloves and jumpers out.

Here are our selections for this evening's handicap races;

16:25 -- 5f Handicap.
Our opening race tonight is a low key handicap where despite ten runners only 3lb separates the field. 

So plenty of interest in the 'top weight' PRESTO BOY [5th 5/1] with his jockey claiming 7lb off his back. Not a lot to beat here with the next best probably CADLAND LAD [Non Runner] with champion apprentice Josephine Gordon in the saddle.

16:55 -- 5f Handicap.
Another sprint handicap to follow but better grade and more open amongst the 10 declared runners. Josephine Gordon has another good chance here with OUTRAGE [5th 7/2] who was running another good race when hampered last time at Chelmsford, that will be out first selection here. 

We also like the possibilities of DYNAMO WALT [WON 8/1] and will dutch the pair against the field.
 
19:25 -- 1m 3f Middle Distance Handicap.
A good event now with a class two handicap for the middle distance series, 13 declared and not many without a chance so going to be hard to pick one, we do like the profile of ROCK STEADY [2nd 8/1] who has form around here and of his ten races to date a winner of two with a further five places to his credit. George Baker is replaced by a claimer on that selection and is himself riding SAM MISSILE [4th 11/4] who is another with winning form here although is moving up in class.

19:55 -- 1m 3f Handicap.
Our final race tonight and an old friend reappears ESTIBDAAD [6th 10/1] tries to go one better than he did a couple of weeks ago and should be worth a chance of doing just that while in good heart. We will match that one with TYRSAL [7th 8/1] who was 3rd in the same race as our other selection above. 

Staked -- 8 points
Returns -- 10 points.

Results are coming in tonight and a nice winner in the 4:55 race (plus non runner in the opener) adding to a near miss in the 7:25 gives us a small profit of 2 points thus increasing our overall profit figure to +5.91.

Lays -- 17/19. [None tonight]

Our next Wednesday evening meeting at this course will be on 16th November, it's back to a regular weekly fixture till the end of the year so see you next week.

FA CUP SECOND ROUND DRAW. [IF WE GET PAST BURY IN THE REPLAY ...]

Monday night we will have the draw for the 2nd Round of this seasons FA Cup. Having come back from 2-0 down at half time to level up with Bury 2-2 on Saturday the Dons are still alive in the cup and will hopefully avoid a draw with the Franchise scum from MK, but of course this depends on us making it past Bury in the replay. 

We will update here with the details of the 2nd round draw as it's made shortly after 7pm on Monday night. Former merseyside players Jim Beglin and Graeme Sharp will be on hand to draw the ties out of the 'hat'. Afc Wimbledon (Bury too I guess) have been allocated ball number 20. 

Second Round Draw

  Westfields or Curzon Ashton v Bury or AFC Wimbledon

  Chesterfield v Wycombe Wanderers

  Millwall v Braintree Town

  Macclesfield Town v Oxford United

  Bolton Wanderers v Sheffield United

  Blackpool v Gillingham or Brackley Town

  Whitehawk or Stourbridge v Northampton Town

  Boreham Wood or Notts County v Peterborough United

  Cambridge Utd or Dover v Coventry City or Morecambe

  Port Vale v Hartlepool United

  Bristol Rovers or Crawley Town v Barrow or Taunton Town

  Woking v Accrington Stanley

  Lincoln City v Oldham Athletic

  Luton Town v Yeovil Town or Solihull Moors

  Sutton United v Cheltenham Town or Crewe Alexandra

  Eastleigh or Swindon Town v Halifax Town or Dag and Red

  Shrewsbury Town v Southport or Fleetwood

  Charlton Athletic v MK Franchise Scum

  Plymouth Argyle v Newport County or Alfreton Town

  Carlisle United v Maidstone United or Rochdale

Ties to be played over the weekend of 2-5 December.

Reaction;

So if we manage to see of Bury in the replay next week the Dons will be away to non league Westfields or Curzon Ashton. If it's Westfields then they are the lowest ranked team in the competition and there might be interest from TV but they will probably look at the Bolton Wanderers tie.