Wednesday, 10 February 2016

KEMPTON PARK RACES 2016 -- WEDNESDAY NIGHTS #6 10th FEBRUARY


Our regular mid week visit to Kempton racecourse now sees us slightly ahead for the campaign (up +4.25 points) which is nice but very early days as we have another 11 months ahead of us. 

We continue to focus on the handicap contests for each meeting but will occasionally include a feature listed or conditions event too. Keeping records of our endeavours to a 1pt level stake at SP, naturally we will personally be looking to get better odds but for the purpose of results we record to SP. 

There will also be the occasional lay opportunity of short priced favourites and so far this year we are 2 from 2, both odds on shots beaten. Results for this will be kept separately too. 

This week there's a 7 race card on offer, 6 of them are handicaps so we going to be kept busy. 

Here is a link to the evenings race card;


Our first race tonight gets under way at 4:55pm it's a 5f sprint handicap, the going as usual is described as Standard and we'll update the weather later before the evening, but expect it'll be cold. 

Lets get cracking and here's my selections for tonight's handicap events;


4:55 -- 5f Handicap
Opening up this week's events with a 5f sprint, just 9 declared for this but as it's a class 7 contest it wouldn't be a huge surprise whatever won. 

Do like the looks of IMJIN RIVER [2nd 4/1] a previous course winner but priced up at 12/1. Has George Baker in the saddle which must be a help, that one will do for us in this with a win/place bet. 


5:25 -- 1m 2f Handicap
Another class 7 event now, 14 declared but with only 6lb covering the lot it's not easy. We'll chance two against the field, both big price selections FOLLOW THE FAITH [13th 33/1] from Mick Channon's yard and CHARLIES STAR [12th 25/1] from Laura Mongan. 


5:55 -- 5f Handicap (3yo)
Back for another sprint now but limited to 3yo only a race where GORGEOUS GEEZER [3rd 7/2] catches the eye, ran well over bit further as a 2yo and with some improvement to be expected can score as a 3yo in handicap company. 


6:55 -- 1m 4f Handicap (3yo)
Another 3yo race with just the 8 declared runners, the top weight WHITECLIFF PARK only won a 4 runner apprentice handicap last time and is showing up in the early markers as 2/1F. If that price is available (or less) that will be this seasons 3rd LAY bet, on the basis that this is a stronger race with the likes of KALAMATA holding good claims. 

Lay - WHITECLIFF PARK [LOST 3rd 4/1]
Selection -- KALAMATA [WON 5/4F]


7:25 -- 1m Handicap
Looks like a chance for EXCEEDING POWER [8th 9/1] to win here at Kempton having placed in the past and won around other AW tracks. 

ISIS BLUE [Unseated Rider 2f out] is a Course and Distance winner and the pair can be backed against the field tonight. 


7:55 -- 7f Handicap (3yo) 
Our finale over 7f another race for 3yo only, we'll have SIR DUDLEY [7th 14/1] and PORT GAVERNE [12th 66/1] against the field. 

Sir Dudley has run in better grade races than this and has at least won and placed in his 10 races so far. Is priced about 14/1 and that's reasonable. 

Port Gaverne has run for this jockey before and the step up in trip could find some improvement, only had 5 runs and time on his side, 16/1 is the price we look for as a win/place opportunity.


Staked -- 9 points
Returns -- 2.25 points
Profit b/f -- +4.25 points, now -2.5 points after tonight's results

Lays -- 3/3 (Still 100% after tonight's one beaten, albeit bigger than expected at 4/1).

Results will be updated here during the evening. 

Sunday, 7 February 2016

MISSING YOU DAD 07/02 X

HAPPY BIRTHDAY DAD

This Sunday would have been my Dads 82nd birthday, sadly he's no longer with us but that doesn't make it any less of a day to remember him.




To say I miss him every day would be an understatement. No amount of time is going to change how I feel, and I would give anything to see him again.

Another year may have passed, my feelings are unchanged, love you for every you did for me, sad that I didn't do enough for you in return. Your legacy lives on with the rest of the family and children, your work is still remember by those that knew you. 




You may be gone from my sight, but you are still a big part of my life and have never gone from my heart. 



A special wish for a special person. Love You xx

Wednesday, 3 February 2016

KEMPTON PARK RACES 2016 -- WEDNESDAY NIGHTS #5 3rd FEBRUARY


The next evening meeting here at Kempton Park will take place on Wednesday 3rd February. This evening will begin at 17:05 with a 7f Handicap contest.


We carry over a small loss into week 5 of -2.0 points, and will continue to keep a running total of our results to a 1pt win at SP, the focus remaining on the Handicap events and a few selected conditions or listed events too. 

This season we are also selected a few short favourites to "lay" our first two have been successful and we continue to look for short price favs to beat. These are likely to be occasional bets through the season and these statistics will be kept separately to the main profit / loss figure this year.

Forecast going is Standard as usual, the weather had dropped in recent weeks but tonight we expect to be lovely and warm as it's likely to get up as high as 7C.

A link to tonight's race card can be found here;

http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/meeting/kempton-park/03-02-2016/fast-cards
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This weeks card is a little better than of late, the 6 race card does have 5 Handicaps but includes the popular London Mile qualifier series. We did well last week and as the year progresses think we can land a few big winners at this midweek fixture.

Here are our selections for those handicaps tonight;

17:05 -- 7f Handicap

Our opening contest features a field of 14 runners, I want to focus on the pair WILD FLOWER [4th 5/1] / YARD OF ALE [WON 9/1], the former has some place form on the all weather having moved over from Ireland and is worth a chance of getting her first win. Yard of Ale won a Wolves maiden and has run consistently around there, has been placed here too and again worth a look at decent odds.


18:10 -- 7f Handicap

A similar looking contest now albeit a few grades higher than our opener. Interesting to see how ATHLETIC [12th 25/1] goes dropping down a few grades into this event usually seen around the better tracks like Newmarket, Ascot and York in decent events over 7f, could be a good option win/place at the forecast 16/1.


18:40 -- 1m Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier)

Now for the feature race of the evening, only the 5 line up for this qualifier, open to 3yo only but it's still a shame only a few have taken up their chance. 

CAPE SPEED from Mark Johnston comes here seeking a hat-trick, too short for us and we aim for NOKHADA [2nd 3/1].



19:10 -- 1m 4f Handicap

KALAHARI [WON 9/4F] / EL TEL [11th 16/1] will be our pair against the field in this event, the former won a handicap going off 15/8F and should go well stepping up in trip. El Tel has only had a few runs around a mile and may make progress over this new trip.


19:40 -- 6f Handicap (3yo)

The finale tonight is a sprint event over 6f where 10 line up for us and recent runner up CLEVEDON COURT [8th 4/1] can put that experience to good use albeit stepping back a little in trip.


Staked -- 7 points
Returns -- 13.25 points (9/1 winner in opener, 9/4 winner later, great result)

Profit to c/f -- +4.25 points
.


Lays -- 2/2 (100% so far both odds on fav's successfully beaten)



A good evening puts us back in front again, will return for another night of handicap company next week.