Our regular mid week visit to Kempton racecourse now sees us slightly ahead for the campaign (up +4.25 points) which is nice but very early days as we have another 11 months ahead of us.
We continue to focus on the handicap contests for each meeting but will occasionally include a feature listed or conditions event too. Keeping records of our endeavours to a 1pt level stake at SP, naturally we will personally be looking to get better odds but for the purpose of results we record to SP.
There will also be the occasional lay opportunity of short priced favourites and so far this year we are 2 from 2, both odds on shots beaten. Results for this will be kept separately too.
This week there's a 7 race card on offer, 6 of them are handicaps so we going to be kept busy.
Here is a link to the evenings race card;
Our first race tonight gets under way at 4:55pm it's a 5f sprint handicap, the going as usual is described as Standard and we'll update the weather later before the evening, but expect it'll be cold.
Lets get cracking and here's my selections for tonight's handicap events;
4:55 -- 5f Handicap
Opening up this week's events with a 5f sprint, just 9 declared for this but as it's a class 7 contest it wouldn't be a huge surprise whatever won.
Do like the looks of IMJIN RIVER [2nd 4/1] a previous course winner but priced up at 12/1. Has George Baker in the saddle which must be a help, that one will do for us in this with a win/place bet.
5:25 -- 1m 2f Handicap
Another class 7 event now, 14 declared but with only 6lb covering the lot it's not easy. We'll chance two against the field, both big price selections FOLLOW THE FAITH [13th 33/1] from Mick Channon's yard and CHARLIES STAR [12th 25/1] from Laura Mongan.
5:55 -- 5f Handicap (3yo)
Back for another sprint now but limited to 3yo only a race where GORGEOUS GEEZER [3rd 7/2] catches the eye, ran well over bit further as a 2yo and with some improvement to be expected can score as a 3yo in handicap company.
6:55 -- 1m 4f Handicap (3yo)
Another 3yo race with just the 8 declared runners, the top weight WHITECLIFF PARK only won a 4 runner apprentice handicap last time and is showing up in the early markers as 2/1F. If that price is available (or less) that will be this seasons 3rd LAY bet, on the basis that this is a stronger race with the likes of KALAMATA holding good claims.
Lay - WHITECLIFF PARK [LOST 3rd 4/1]
Selection -- KALAMATA [WON 5/4F]
7:25 -- 1m Handicap
Looks like a chance for EXCEEDING POWER [8th 9/1] to win here at Kempton having placed in the past and won around other AW tracks.
ISIS BLUE [Unseated Rider 2f out] is a Course and Distance winner and the pair can be backed against the field tonight.
7:55 -- 7f Handicap (3yo)
Our finale over 7f another race for 3yo only, we'll have SIR DUDLEY [7th 14/1] and PORT GAVERNE [12th 66/1] against the field.
Sir Dudley has run in better grade races than this and has at least won and placed in his 10 races so far. Is priced about 14/1 and that's reasonable.
Port Gaverne has run for this jockey before and the step up in trip could find some improvement, only had 5 runs and time on his side, 16/1 is the price we look for as a win/place opportunity.
Staked -- 9 points
Returns -- 2.25 points
Profit b/f -- +4.25 points, now -2.5 points after tonight's results
Lays -- 3/3 (Still 100% after tonight's one beaten, albeit bigger than expected at 4/1).
Results will be updated here during the evening.
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