Wednesday 17 February 2016

KEMPTON PARK RACES 2016 -- WEDNESDAY NIGHTS #7 17th FEBRUARY

Our regular mid week visit to Kempton racecourse now sees us slightly behind once again for the campaign (down -2.5 points) which is not ideal but still is very early days as we have over 10 months ahead of us. 

We continue to focus on the handicap contests for each meeting but will occasionally include a feature listed or conditions event too. Keeping records of our endeavours to a 1pt level stake at SP, naturally we will personally be looking to get better odds but for the purpose of results we record to SP. 

There will also be the occasional lay opportunity of short priced favourites and as a result of another successful lay last week we are now 3 from 3. Results for this will be kept separately too and hopefully we can remain at 100% for a while. 

This week there's a 8 race card on offer, 7 of them are handicaps now with the division of the 7:50pm contest so we going to be kept busy. 

Here is a link to the evenings race card;
http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/meeting/kempton-park/17-02-2016/fast-cards



Our first race tonight gets under way at 5:20pm it's a 1m 2f apprentice handicap. The going on the polytrack surface as usual is described as Standard and we'll update the weather later before the evening, but expect it'll be cold and chance of rain. 

Lets get cracking and here's my selections for tonight's handicap events;


5:20 -- 1m 2f Apprentice Handicap
Our opening contest tonight sees a field of 12 apprentices line up in the lowest grade available, so stakes would normally be kept low (or avoided completely) but for our records it's still the 1pt level stake here. 

Of these FERRYVIEW PLACE [2nd 9/2] has at least won some races, in better class than this and his 5lb apprentice has ridden a few races before which must help. Not much else appeals here. 


6:20 -- 5f Handicap
Bit better class now for the sprint handicap, 10 runners, plenty of winning form so this will be more interesting for us. 

MIRACLE GARDEN [WON 15/8F] won a few races last term including around here, has risen in the weights but as a 4yo could still have something to offer given his recent run when 2nd at Wolves last time out. 

At a bigger price TEMPLE ROAD [6th 14/1] would be interesting with Frannie Norton on board and a decent draw. Will back the pair against the field. 


6:50 -- 1m 2f Handicap
A disappointing field of just 4 line up for this contest, small fields can end up being tactical and there's a short price fav here. I think the value is the two outsiders on the book against the front two, so that's ALDEBURGH [4th 9/2] / TOP DIKTAT [3rd 9/1] running for us. 


7:20 -- 1m 4f Handicap
SHIRATAKI [3rd 11/1] might be 8yo but is still capable of winning as proved here last month. Up in the weights a bit but has crept in receiving weight from the rest of the field, worth a win/place bet at the forecast 12/1.


7:50 -- 7f Handicap (Div 1)
ONLY TEN PER CENT [4th 14/1] has been running well for his claimer Alistair Rawlinson and this course winner can score for us here in division one of this open event. 

WEST LEAKE [5th 16/1] has claims too having won of a similar mark last year, and has 11 wins to his name so despite being the veteran of the field has the form and ability to go well. 



8:20 -- 7f Handicap (Div 2)
Division two is just as tricky to call, but sticking with the theme of giving the veterans a try we go with the 8yo MAJOR MUSCARI [9th 8/1] regularly placed at this level might be hard to win but still has a level of form to make that risk worthwhile. Will have a place bet if we can get 2/1 the place but that's just for us. 


8:50 -- 1m Handicap 
A max field of 14 for the finale and we'll have a pair against the field in LITTLE BIG MAN [4th 9/1] / ZED CANDY GIRL [WON 5/1] both drawn in the middle of the track which should make them handy and be able to throw down a challenge in the home straight. 

Both have fairly good recent form, and appear to be about 8/1 in the betting to dutch the pair against the rest is the call. 


Staked -- 11 points
Returns -- 8.875 points so a small loss tonight of -2.125.
Loss c/f to next week -- -4.625 points

Lays -- 3/3 (Still 100%).

Results will be updated here during the evening. 




No comments:

Post a Comment