Monday, 13 February 2017

KEMPTON PARK RACES 2017 -- WEDNESDAY NIGHTS #5 15th FEBRUARY

Our fifth week into the 2017 season here at Kempton and after another winning Wednesday evening last week we look forward to another exciting evening under the lights again. 

After a winning night last time which gave us another 11 points profit we now find ourselves starting 2017 in a very good position and look forward to a successful season. We will aim to improve on the success recording bets from all the handicap contests held on the Wednesday evenings and the occasional lays too.

All our results will be recorded to SP and having ended the last year on a profit we started off the first few weeks with a steady but small win which now brings us up to our current position of +17.75 points. It's a nice start. 


As always our focus will be on the handicap contests for each meeting but will occasionally include a feature listed or conditions event too. Keeping records of our endeavours to a 1pt level stake at SP, naturally we will personally be looking to get better odds but for the purpose of the results we record to SP.


We will keep up with our occasional lay opportunities of short priced favourites too, once again will keep these results separately from the handicap figures. 

This week is our fifth meeting for 2017 and we are expecting a eight race card tonight as the final contest has been split into two divisions. Overall that gives us seven handicap contests to review. This evenings action will commence at 17:20 with a 1m 3f apprentice handicap. 




Below is a link to this Wednesday's race card;

EVENING RACECARD






The going on the polytrack surface is described as Standard to slow once more and the current weather forecast is for a wet showery day with a max temperature of about 10C when the meeting gets underway and looks likely to remain cold with scattered showers due throughout the evening.

Here are our selections for this evenings 7 handicap races;


17:20 -- 1m 3f Apprentice Handicap.

It's going to be another fairly low quality meeting and kicks off with a class 7 event for the apprentices. Hopefully none of them going to hear "you're fired" tonight though it's difficult what to make of some of these in a field of 14 runners. 

It's not a race to get too deep into and we will simply side with a couple of decent priced selections against the field which are FERRYVIEW PLACE [6th 10/1]  /  CAPPIELOW PARK [8th 16/1].

17:50 -- 7
f Handicap.
This is fairly uninspiring too but at least a few of these have won a race, and we will side with FOREVER YOURS [9th 25/1] who comes back after a good long break but is still young and could come good now moving into handicaps for the first time. Will have that alongside HARRY HOLLAND [11th 8/1] who not only has the assistance of the best female jockey around Jo Gordon, but has won three times including around here in one of the qualifiers for the London Mile series, so worth a chance in this class 6 handicap.

18:20 -- 6f Fillies Handicap.
Ladies turn now and with just 8 declared for tonight it's a good chance for BEAU MISTRAL [7th 5/1] to complete her hat trick of wins on different all weather courses. 


18:50 -- 1m Handicap.
Ten go to post for the mile handicap, a slightly better class of event now and all have a chance bar Freight Train who looks unlikely today. Our pair against the field are FORT JEFFERSON [Non Runner] who won a pair of handicaps last summer and has only been seen out at Southwell since, along with BELEAVE [5th 16/1] who was a close 2nd to the Andrew Balding runner in one of those races and has been off since then. Both appear about 10/1 in the betting forecast. 

19:50 -- 1m 4f Handicap.
The old stager STAND GUARD [7th 8/1] might be 13 now but proved he can still mix it with a win last time out around this track and should not be overlooked for a repeat as he also won around here at Christmas time and has 28 wins from his 83 starts which isn't too shabby. 

At 10 years old (a relative youngster compared to Stand Guard) is MUNSARIM [10th 33/1] who also won last time out here in October and could be a danger again. Slight preference for Stand Guard though will try and back them both for the win if the prices allow.  

20:20 -- 1m Handicap (Div 1).

The final race has now been divided into two divisions, it's still a low grade handicap and not very inspiring so have just picked out couple of runners which are NO NO CARDINAL [4th 16/1] and DUKES MEADOW [2nd 11/2]

20:50 -- 1m Handicap (Div 2).
Now for our finale, the second division of the mile contest, another 10 runners declared, where we select JUST FAB [10th 25/1] and HENRY GRACE [WON 6/4F] against the field. 


Staked -- 13 points
Returns -- 3.5
 points.

Results for this meeting will be updated throughout the evening and we aim to improve on our current profit figure to date of +17.75 points. Not the best weeks, losing 9.5 points tonight. So we've got +8.25 to take forth to next week.

Lays -- 0/2. None tonight. 





Our next Wednesday evening meeting at this course will be on 22nd February so hope to see you next week.

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