Wednesday 8 February 2017

KEMPTON PARK RACES 2017 -- WEDNESDAY NIGHTS #4 8th FEBRUARY

Our fourth week into the 2017 season here at Kempton and after a rare Wednesday afternoon meeting last time we are back to the early evenings under the lights again. 

Despite a small 1 point loss last week we find ourselves starting 2017 in a good position and look forward to a successful season. We will aim to improve on last seasons successful year recording bets from all the handicap contests held on the Wednesday evenings and the occasional lays too.

All our results will be recorded to SP and having ended the last year on a profit we started off the first few weeks with a small win and although last week was a loss we are still ahead to the tune of +6.75 points. It's a nice start. 


As always our focus will be on the handicap contests for each meeting but will occasionally include a feature listed or conditions event too. Keeping records of our endeavours to a 1pt level stake at SP, naturally we will personally be looking to get better odds but for the purpose of the results we record to SP.


We will keep up with our occasional lay opportunities of short priced favourites too, once again will keep these results separately from the handicap figures. 

This week is our fourth meeting for 2017 and we are expecting a seven race card on offer, where we will be presented with six handicap contests to review. This evenings action will commence at 17:20 with a 1m 2f handicap. 




Below is a link to this Wednesday's race card;

EVENING RACECARD







The going on the polytrack surface is described as Standard to slow once more and the current weather forecast is for a wet showery day with a max temperature of about 5C when the meeting gets underway and remain cold with showers due throughout the evening.


Here are our selections for this evenings handicap races;


17:20 -- 1m 2f Handicap.
We have to begin this weeks efforts with a class 7 handicap so really isn't going to take much winning and with such poor quality on show could easily be a surprise. 


So will pick two big price options against the field in this 14 runner affair, these will be GOLDMADCHEN [9th 25/1] and SIXTIES IDOL [7th 20/1].

17:50 -- 5f Handicap.

Another low grade sprint now and continues the uninspiring theme with a field of ten declared. Certainly want to be on JUSTICE ROCK [3rd 7/1] with Josephine Gordon still going well this winter and have that along with WILLOW SPRING [10th 7/1].

18:20 -- 5f Handicap.
Bit better now and a class 5 event over 5f has only 7 runners declared. LITTLE MISS DAISY [WON 9/2] wasn't beaten too far at Lingfield and had to race wide then, so should find it a little easier over the shorter trip and with less runners. 


19:20 -- 7f Handicap (3yo).
TAI HANG DRAGON [WON 7/1] steps out of maiden company into a handicap for the first time in her own age group and has been improving slowly with each run so with all the weight advantage should be close. A similar story can be made for LA GUAPITA [8th 7/1] who went really close in her last maiden and the fact they fancy handicaps already is a positive sign when another maiden would surely be in her grasp. 


19:50 -- 1m Handicap (3yo) (London Mile Series).
Best race on the card now and it's over a mile, these qualifying series events usually attract some decent all weather performers though it's restricted to 3yo horses. 

TISBUTADREAM [WON 11/2] is seeking a hat-trick tonight and is our selection for this event while in good heart. 

20:20 -- 1m 4f Handicap (3yo).

Our finale tonight is another three year old event and it looks set up for SERENADE THE STARS to win again but that one seems to be far too short for us. So against the favourite we will take a chance with THE LAST DEBUTANTE [2nd 13/2] from the Mark Johnston stable

Staked -- 9 points
Returns -- 20 points.

Results for this meeting will be updated throughout the evening and we aim to improve on our current profit figure to date of +6.75 points
. Doing ok so far tonight already securing a healthy profit with three decent wins meaning we end the night up by 11 points to SP returns, our new profit figure is therefore +17.75

Lays -- 0/2. One Lay for tonight in the 18:50 Fillies Maiden event, PEPITA who will probably be a short price for this event but might again find one or two better.
 Rats, it won albeit at 4/7F so not too much damage. 




Our next Wednesday evening meeting at this course will be on 15th February so see you next week.

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