Tuesday, 13 January 2015

KEMPTON PARK RACES, WEDNESDAY 14th JANUARY 2015

WEDNESDAY COMES AROUND AGAIN SO IT'S OFF TO SUNBURY ON THAMES FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF AW RACING UNDER THE LIGHTS AT KEMPTON PARK. 

THIS WILL BE THEIR SECOND FLAT MEETING OF 2015 AND THE RACE CARD CAN BE FOUND AT THE FOLLOWING URL PATH;

http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/meeting/kempton-park/14-01-2015/fast-cards

ONCE AGAIN THERE ARE 5 HANDICAP RACES ON THIS 6 RACE CARD SO WE ARE IN FOR A BUSY EVENING WHICH WILL GET UNDERWAY AT 16:35;


16:35 - 1m Handicap - Failed to make all last time over 1m 2f but has won races here before with a female jockey up (that was with Kirsty Milczarek) so we like the possible chances of CHANDRAYAAN here with Hayley Turner booked and a price of 25/1 forecast. Has a 25% win/place strike rate and not without hope. [7th 25/1]


17:10 - 1m Handicap [London Mile Qualifier] - COMRADE BOND [NAP] was placed over the trip at Wolves at 50/1 last time out is still a decent price and has Jimmy Quinn to assist. Reasonable win/place rate too over 40% will be getting into the place market on this one. [12th 33/1]

17:40 - 1m 4f Handicap - The step up in trip helped THIRD STRIKE get a lot closer than he had done previously and therefore the chance is taken that this trip will see a little more improvement to the point that "Third" is the least we can expect him to strike for us. [6th 25/1]


18:10 - 7f Handicap - Back over what appears to be his best trip MY SON MAX can go well once more here, off a mark a few pounds lower than last win and riders 3lb claim a bonus. Is forecast 25/1 so we'll take that for the win/place. [NON RUNNER]

19:10 - 7f Handicap - Another who has won over this trip off a higher mark than today is BLACKTHORN STICK and has another chance to put his best foot forward in this finale, won a similar race this time last season, might pay to strike early in the year before handicap goes up again. [2nd 8/1]

RESULTS WILL UPDATE LATER ON IN THE EVENING.

Friday, 9 January 2015

THE RETURN OF GREAT LEIGHS ON SUNDAY ....

It's now called CHELMSFORD CITY which is a nice throwback to my days of watching my football team AFC Wimbledon play in the Ryman Premier / Conference South days.

Nowadays though it's the new name for the troubled AW venue in Essex, which became one of the new venues to the racing fixture list in April 2008, only to suffer many problems and go into administration and lose it's fixtures in Jan 2009. It's been a long road back with several false dawns so I do sincerely hope they are all ready to go and succeed this time around. 

Sunday will be the first of 58 fixtures throughout 2015, I will be keen to follow how they get on, believe they've put up a new stand and better facilities so it will be interesting to see how things develop. Having lost Hereford and Folkestone in the last few years and with other courses changing their criteria (Newcastle installing an AW surface, Wetherby running flat races in April) it's clear there is still a wind of change in the horse-racing world. 

Here is a quick link to Sundays card, 

http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/meeting/chelmsford-city/11-01-2015/fast-cards

And we'll have the following selections for this opening fixture and look forward to hearing how things go, so I do hope the weather is good for anyone travelling, could be windy I hear.

12:50 -- REBELLIOUS GUEST [7th 9/1]

1:20 -- PIN UP [6th 7/2]


1:50 -- LUIS VAZ DE TORRES [3rd 3/1]


2:20 -- IT MUST BE FAITH [2nd 11/4]


2:50 -- ANONYMOUS JOHN [NAP]  [2nd 5/1]


3:20 -- RIZAL PARK [7th 3/1]


3:50 -- SILENT PURSUIT [8th 10/1]


Results were a bit of a near miss here and there, not a big shock given the lack of true form here to go on, it'll improve and good luck to all involved with the course, hope you survive a bit longer than the last time.



Tuesday, 6 January 2015

NEW YEAR BACK TO KEMPTON ON WEDNESDAYS. 7th JANUARY 2015


HAPPY NEW YEAR TO EVERYONE OUT THERE.

HOPE THAT THE YEAR HAS BEEN KIND TO YOU SO FAR, NOW THAT'S ALL OVER FOR ANOTHER YEAR IT'S TIME TO COME BACK TO NORMALITY AND LOOKING TO EARN A FEW QUID BETWEEN NOW AND CHELTENHAM. DOES IT SOUND ODD USING A FLAT RACING SYSTEM AND TALKING ABOUT THE BIG NH MEETING? WELL MAYBE I AM ODD ...

KEMPTON HAVE PACKED UP AFTER THEIR BIG BOXING DAY KING GEORGE MEETING AND IT'S BACK TO NORMALITY NOW ON WEDNESDAY EVENINGS. THEIR FIRST MEETING OF 2015 IS ON 7th JAN AND THE QUICK CARD IS AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING URL PATH;

http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/meeting/kempton-park/07-01-2015/fast-cards

THERE ARE 5 HANDICAPS ON THIS 6 RACE CARD SO WE ARE IN FOR A BUSY EVENING WHICH GETS UNDERWAY AT 16:35;

16:35 - 7f Handicap - Class 7 event so no stars here, in fact no real surprise whatever wins as they are all hopelessly out of form. Trainer Ann Stokall is known for having some big price "surprise" winners and places, she has HOLD THE STAR [Non Runner] who has at least won and placed the win being a 100/1 shot a couple of years back. Hasn't run since May last year, worth a risk at massive price for the place, if getting away on terms (can fluff the start), not a race to be heavily involved with. 

17:40 - 7f Handicap - A very tight looking handicap can go the way of MARJONG [5th 10/1] who seems to run consistently off this sort of mark, has a good jockey on board (Hayley Turner) and she is in receipt of lumps of weight from more fancied runners. Priced up as the outsider of the field and worth a punt win/ place if all 8 line up. 

18:10 - 1m 4f Handicap (Amateurs) - Don't usually get involved in these sorts of races given the unknown abilities about many of the jockey's. However, the outsider in this field ESTIBDAAD [6th 50/1] can be backed at 50/1 and yet on the four occasions he's run at this course has managed to place every single time. Is probably well out the handicap hence the price but in a race of this nature might find the fancied runners not running to their true mark. 

Not a race to get too deep into, might be worth a cheeky 1pt win/place though if price holds up.

18:40 - 1m 3f Handicap - The recent poor run of ALDEBURGH [WON 20/1could be excused as it was his first for some months, would need to show more but has bits and pieces of form from races at Lingfield and here earlier last year that might given him a place chance at 20/1 if that last run was just to blow the cobwebs away? 

Great winner ... love it when a plan comes together.


19:10 - 6f Handicap - Has been running over a little further and regularly placed but are still looking at PICK A LITTLE [8th 20/1] for this finale at a big price seems consistent enough on all the AW tracks that the change in trip shouldn't be an issue. 



A nice profit of +17 points to a 1pt level stake at SP on the first meeting of the year. Will look to work a system / staking plan for each of the Kempton Park and Wolves meetings. Shall keep them separate so that I can do some comparisons later in the year how we are doing, nice start though.