Tuesday, 6 January 2015

NEW YEAR BACK TO KEMPTON ON WEDNESDAYS. 7th JANUARY 2015


HAPPY NEW YEAR TO EVERYONE OUT THERE.

HOPE THAT THE YEAR HAS BEEN KIND TO YOU SO FAR, NOW THAT'S ALL OVER FOR ANOTHER YEAR IT'S TIME TO COME BACK TO NORMALITY AND LOOKING TO EARN A FEW QUID BETWEEN NOW AND CHELTENHAM. DOES IT SOUND ODD USING A FLAT RACING SYSTEM AND TALKING ABOUT THE BIG NH MEETING? WELL MAYBE I AM ODD ...

KEMPTON HAVE PACKED UP AFTER THEIR BIG BOXING DAY KING GEORGE MEETING AND IT'S BACK TO NORMALITY NOW ON WEDNESDAY EVENINGS. THEIR FIRST MEETING OF 2015 IS ON 7th JAN AND THE QUICK CARD IS AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING URL PATH;

http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/meeting/kempton-park/07-01-2015/fast-cards

THERE ARE 5 HANDICAPS ON THIS 6 RACE CARD SO WE ARE IN FOR A BUSY EVENING WHICH GETS UNDERWAY AT 16:35;

16:35 - 7f Handicap - Class 7 event so no stars here, in fact no real surprise whatever wins as they are all hopelessly out of form. Trainer Ann Stokall is known for having some big price "surprise" winners and places, she has HOLD THE STAR [Non Runner] who has at least won and placed the win being a 100/1 shot a couple of years back. Hasn't run since May last year, worth a risk at massive price for the place, if getting away on terms (can fluff the start), not a race to be heavily involved with. 

17:40 - 7f Handicap - A very tight looking handicap can go the way of MARJONG [5th 10/1] who seems to run consistently off this sort of mark, has a good jockey on board (Hayley Turner) and she is in receipt of lumps of weight from more fancied runners. Priced up as the outsider of the field and worth a punt win/ place if all 8 line up. 

18:10 - 1m 4f Handicap (Amateurs) - Don't usually get involved in these sorts of races given the unknown abilities about many of the jockey's. However, the outsider in this field ESTIBDAAD [6th 50/1] can be backed at 50/1 and yet on the four occasions he's run at this course has managed to place every single time. Is probably well out the handicap hence the price but in a race of this nature might find the fancied runners not running to their true mark. 

Not a race to get too deep into, might be worth a cheeky 1pt win/place though if price holds up.

18:40 - 1m 3f Handicap - The recent poor run of ALDEBURGH [WON 20/1could be excused as it was his first for some months, would need to show more but has bits and pieces of form from races at Lingfield and here earlier last year that might given him a place chance at 20/1 if that last run was just to blow the cobwebs away? 

Great winner ... love it when a plan comes together.


19:10 - 6f Handicap - Has been running over a little further and regularly placed but are still looking at PICK A LITTLE [8th 20/1] for this finale at a big price seems consistent enough on all the AW tracks that the change in trip shouldn't be an issue. 



A nice profit of +17 points to a 1pt level stake at SP on the first meeting of the year. Will look to work a system / staking plan for each of the Kempton Park and Wolves meetings. Shall keep them separate so that I can do some comparisons later in the year how we are doing, nice start though. 


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