Monday, 25 January 2016

KEMPTON PARK RACES 2016 -- WEDNESDAY NIGHTS #4 27th JANUARY


Kempton Park next evening fixture will take place on Wednesday night 27th January. The meeting will begin at 16:40 with a 6f Handicap contest.

Despite a winning week last time out we are having to carry over a small loss into week 4 of -1.5 points, and will continue to keep a running total of our results to a 1pt win at SP, the focus remaining on the Handicap events and a few selected conditions or listed events too.

This season we are also selected a few short favourites to "lay" our first two have been successful, last week got an 8/13F beat which was nice and we'll hope to keep our 100% record for as long as possible. These are likely to be occasional bets through the season and these statistics will be kept separately to the main profit / loss figure this year.

Forecast going is Standard as usual, the weather has dropped in recent weeks and suggest you wrap up warm as it's likely to be no higher than 2C tonight.

A link to tonight's race card can be found here;
http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/meeting/kempton-park/27-01-2016/fast-cards.





This weeks card has 8 races where 7 are Handicaps, lets see if we can find a winner or two tonight.

Here are our selections for those handicaps;

16:40 -- 6f Handicap.
Tonight's meeting gets under way with this 6f Handicap contest, but even with 11 runners it's very uninspiring. Am fairly reluctant to go for a horse that is 11 years of age now but WE HAVE A DREAM [8th 16/1] was placed when last seen here and has 13 wins from his 102 runs with another 24 places so has form and is still running well. Not a big bet to start with but a definite place bet.


17:40 -- 1m 4f Handicap.
A rematch on paper here with FERN OWL and TANGRAMM facing one another again after the former won by a head at Wolves about three weeks ago.

While plenty of attention will be on these and it's hard to call the result of that match again I am going to side with INDIRA [NON RUNNER] despite top weight has run well here and course form might be preferential.


18:10 -- 6f Handicap (3yo).
A sprint event for 3yo's only now, and while the comedian in me want's to follow GO ON GO ON GO ON this one seems too short a price today based on a couple of maiden events.

Instead the one with plenty of form especially in Nursery's is the top one KINGSLEY KLARION [WON 3/1]. Mark Johnston should be ready with this one having run last week and doesn't tend to come to Kempton without a good chance.


18:40 -- 1m Handicap (3yo).
Another 3yo contest now and 9 declared include recent Wolves winner NOUVELLI DANCER [WON 6/4] who has a 6lb penalty to cope with and has landed a decent low draw so could be hard to peg back if in the same mood.


19:10 -- 1m Handicap (Div1).
This mile event has been divided and Division One has 10 declared largely out of form types looking for some help from the handicapper. BLACKADDER [10th 33/1] has the help of a decent 5lb claimer on board and if he has a "Cunning Plan" could go well at a price, along with bottom weight LET IT GO [9th 25/1] who's only had a few runs and might be slowly getting the hang of it on the AW and worth a small bet.


19:40 -- 1m Handicap (Div2).
And with Division Two we can look at the other 9 runners and it's a race we were successful with last year when Jackpot popped up at 25/1. Not sure if we can repeat that but lets try anyway, CROWNING STAR [9th 8/1] was hampered when close up towards the finish last time here, and has won off a higher mark too, so a chance is taken on that one off bottom weight.


20:10 -- 1m 4f Handicap.
And our finale this week over a mile and half is a race where I expect CARTOGRAPHIC [4th 6/4] to confirm his recent course and distance win here on his UK debut (ex Irish, sire - Henrythenavigator).

Might not be a big price again but should see these off before being reassessed again by the handicapper.


Staked -- 8 points
Returns -- 7.5 point (Indira N/R, 2 winners)

Loss b/f -- -2 points.

Lays -- 2/2 (100% both odds on favs successfully beat)

Results will appear here during the course of the evening.


A Beautiful sunset ...

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