Wednesday 20 January 2016

KEMPTON PARK RACES 2016 -- WEDNESDAY NIGHTS #3 20th JANUARY


Our latest evening meeting here at Kempton Park will take place on Wednesday night 20th January. The meeting will begin at 16:40 with a 1m Handicap contest.

We carry over a small loss into week 3 of -2.5 points, and will continue to keep a running total of our results to a 1pt win at SP, the focus remaining on the Handicap events and a few selected conditions or listed events too. 

This season we are also selected a few short favourites to "lay" our first one was successful at 10/11F, these are likely to be occasional bets through the season and these statistics will be kept separately to the main profit / loss figure this year.

Forecast going is Standard as usual, the weather has dropped in recent weeks and suggest you wrap up warm as it's likely to be no higher than 2C tonight.

A link to tonight's race card can be found here;

http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/meeting/kempton-park/20-01-2016/fast-cards.






This weeks card is an ALL Handicap affair, 6 races to go through and no rest for the punter, lets see if we can find a winner or two tonight.

Here are our selections for those handicaps;

16:40 -- 1m Handicap
The opening race is the first of three 1m Handicaps, 14 runners to look through, LITTLE INDIAN [3rd 8/1] was runner up when last racing around here a repeat of which should see him go close again in this company. 


In addition will be on the bottom weight ENDLESS SEAS [11th 16/1] who has not had a lot of runs for a 5yo and will be a decent price for Catherine Gannon to steer home after a six month absence (the horse, not Cath).


17:10 -- 1m Handicap (London Mile Series Qualifier)
This is a good quality handicap for the series and though restricted to 3yo's usually gives us a true run competitive race. 


Early for many of these to be thinking about the final but the one I think looks most forward here is William Haggis' RAHYAH [6th 3/1]. This filly has had three runs, runner up twice and not beaten far each time, interesting they target this instead of finding a maiden event.


17:40 -- 1m Fillies Handicap
The third mile handicap in a row now, although this is restricted to the ladies only and has 8 declared for us to ponder.

The top weight and likely fav is OAKLEY GIRL, at 11/8F looks short for us despite winning three contests in the past and is going to be our 2nd Lay bet of the year. [BEAT! 2nd 8/13F]

So if we get the fav beat who's going to win for us? Well we fancy going with LADY MARL [5th 12/1] and MAIDEN APPROACH [3rd 10/1] as both priced about 12/1 this could be a big result


18:10 -- 1m 4f Handicap
An 11 runner affair now, CARTOGRAPHIC [Non Runner] looks interesting with only a penalty for his recent win here over the weekend. The draw could have been kinder but assuming they take their chance should be right up there in this crowd. 

The only other "in form" one is WELL OWD MON but he's one who is usually seen at Wolves and might prefer another spin around there instead of Surrey.


18:40 -- 1m 3f Handicap
Tricky one again looking through them for multiple winners on the AW does flag up WHINGING WILLIE [WON 8/1] who has 5 wins to his name and although 7yo now at least has recent winning form too over the Christmas / New Year season. 

Also on the short list is MR RED CLUBS [10th 12/1] with 7 wins and a further 12 places to his tally, admittedly has been campaigned around Wolves for a while but we take that chance at the price.


19:10 -- 7f Handicap
And for our finale a 7f poser, really only two likely to be involved in the finish with Bridge Builder up another 6lbs and has had two recent runs in short succession so we go with INVECTUS HERO [6th 2/1] even though his last win was over 6f should get this trip being out of Paco Boy.


Staked -- 9 points
Returns -- 10 points (8/1 Winner 18:40 and a Non Runner in 18:10)

Loss b/f -- -2.5 points. 

Up a point tonight overall, so -1.5 points going into next week.

Lays -- 2/2 (100% both odds on favs successfully beat)

Well a good evening really, a decent winner couple of places and the short favourite beaten. Ok overall the returns are small but a fun night, plenty of action, and plenty to take forward. 

A Beautiful sunset ...

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