Friday 19 June 2015

ROYAL ASCOT 2015. DAY FOUR FRIDAY 19th JUNE


Friday Weather update -- A good deal of cloud on Friday though all places will probably stay dry. With all the cloud temperatures will be down a little compared to Thursday. Forecast High of 18C

Going -- GOOD TO FIRM


DAY FOUR

What a wonderful Gold Cup day, the feature winner TRIP TO PARIS and Graham Lee getting the plaudits and justifying the owners decision to pay the additional fee to supplement the Chester Cup winner. 


The day was another awesome one for Ryan Moore too who is simply unstoppable this week. 

The opening race is at 2:30 it's the ALBANY STAKES a race for 2yo fillies and has a field of 19 runners declared for a 6f dash.


Only one of these yet to win and that's the once raced OUR JOY of Clive Cox, the American LAXFIELD ROAD won a race over 4f at odds on and it's questionable if she'll stay if going flat out, expect something to pass her in the final furlong. 

The Richard Hannon pair seem the ones to focus on, so we'll back both ILLUMINATE and PALENVILLE against the field. 

2:30 Result
1st 9 Illuminate  (R Hughes, 4/1 fav)
2nd 1 Ashadihan  12/1
3rd 4 Elegant Supermodel  20/1
4th 5 Fireglow  20/1


The KING EDWARD VII STAKES is next off at 3:05  


Only the 7 to look through but we do fancy OL MAN RIVER from the Aiden O'Brien yard, and with Ryan Moore banging in the winners I doubt the forecast 4/1 will last long. 

3:05 Result
1st 1 Balios  (J P Spencer, 3/1 2nd-fav)
2nd 5 Mr Singh  8/1


A new race at 3:40 is the COMMONWEALTH CUP a GROUP 1 race run over 6f for 3yo's. 

18 runners declared, the bottom one TIGGY WIGGY was highly regarded last term and lost her reputation by finishing 3rd in the Fred Darling stakes on reappearance and then took 3rd again in the 1000 Guineas at HQ. Is still clearly a good filly but will do well to get in the frame again in amongst the boys. 

LIMATO is the talking horse and couldn't have won easier at Ascot on his reappearance (I was there, it was all over a long way out). Got beat in a Group 2 by ADAAY at Haydock and the pair go again in this event and shouldn't be far away.


3:40 Result
1st 11 Muhaarar  (Dane O'Neill, 10/1)
2nd 10 Limato  9/2
3rd 14 Anthem Alexander  8/1
4th 13 Salt Island  33/1
 

At 4:20 it's another fillies event and this time it's around the mile track for 3yo's, THE CORONATION STAKES.


This GROUP 1 race has 9 runners and 3 of these are owned by the Godolphin yard. While LUCIDA is the shortest price the one from this trio that I'd want to back is SPERRY (currently 14/1)

ARABIAN QUEEN won comfortably (4L eased) at Epsom last time and is also an attractive price for this albeit she's up in class. 

4:20 Result
1st 2 Ervedya  (C Soumillon, 3/1 joint-2nd-fav)
2nd 3 Found  13/8 fav
3rd 6 Lucida  3/1



At 5:00 we have the DUKE OF EDINBURGH stakes over 1m 4f a race that has attracted 19 runners, once we eliminate the reserves.

We'll pick a pair in form, and as luck would have it they are separated by the width of the track ASTRONEREUS from Amanda Perrett and SENNOCKIAN STAR [N/r] from Mark Johnston's yard will do for us. 

5.00 Result
1st 16 Arab Dawn  (R Hughes 6/1 j)
2nd 8 Ajman Bridge  8/1
3rd 6 Astronereus (IRE)  8/1
4th 18 Libran (IRE)  20/1


Our finale on Friday is now the 2m QUEENS VASE off at 5:35.

Aiden O'Brien has the favourite here with ALOFT but at the odds it has to be worth taking on and it's Her Majesty's FABRICATE that we will be backing to raise the roof.  

5.35 Result
1st 1 Aloft (IRE)  (Ryan Moore 5/2 f)
2nd 10 Tommy Docc (IRE)  33/1
3rd 5 Future Empire  12/1



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