Saturday, 15 December 2018

AFC WIMBLEDON v CHARLTON ATHLETIC -- LEAGUE ONE 2018-19 SEASON 15th DECEMBER

LEAGUE ONE FIXTURE SATURDAY 15th DECEMBER

This weekend the Dons will travel to Charlton Athletic in a league one London derby and its a first return for ex Dons forward Lyle Taylor who now leads the Addicks attack and has 12 goals this season. 

Having let Neal Ardley go the Dons have steadied the bad form a little bit but still remain six points from safety in 23rd place on 15 points, only Bradford City are below us. New Dons manager in situ is Wally Downes who saw his side come from a goal down to draw 1-1 against Rochdale in his first official game in charge with new assistant Glyn Hodges. Charlton arrive here after a win midweek against top of the table Portsmouth and prior to that had won four out of five in the league so find themselves currently sitting in 5th place in the table on 37 points they ought to be firm favourites under manager Lee Bowyer.
 


FORM GUIDE 
(Last 6 matches in the league, starting with most recent)
AFC Wimbledon -- DLWLLL

Charlton Athletic -- WLWWWW






LAST TIME OUT

AFC Wimbledon 1 Rochdale 1

Portsmouth 1 Charlton Athletic 2







Updates will be published with team news and more news as and when it comes through. It's not considered as an all ticket match but not expecting this one to sell out by any means due to the poor run of form for the Dons should be little trouble getting tickets. Going to be very cold, maybe the action on the pitch will warm the crowd, hopefully we'll have James Hansen available after injury and attempt to deliver a better service up to the likes of Joe Pigott and Mitchell Pinnock? Lyle Taylor will start up front for Charlton and Hansen appears on the bench for us.

Line Ups (confirmed);



AFC WIMBLEDON
Odds -- 100/30 (William Hill) 

McDonnell (Gk)  Watson,  Nightingale (c),  Purrington,  Thomas,  Wagstaff _,  Hartigan,  Wordsworth,  Soares,  Pinnock _,  Barcham


Subs – 
King (Gk),  Sibbick,  Burey,  Kalambayi,  Trotter,  Hanson,  Jervis





CHARLTON ATHLETIC
Odds -- 4/5 (William Hill) 

Steer (Gk),  Solly (c),  Bauer,  Pearce,  Sarr _,  Reeves,  Bielik _,  Aribo,  Fosu-Henry,  Taylor _,  Ajose

Subs –  Phillips (Gk),  Dijksteel,  Marshall,  Morgan,  Stevenson,  Sarpeng-Wiredu,  Hackett-Fairchild






H/T Score – 0 - 0

First Half Comment;
OMG what a start, a straight red card for Charlton's Naby Sarr for a terrible foul on Tennai Watson after only 15 seconds and the Dons will have a whole game against 10 men to enjoy. Despite being a man down it's Charlton who make a lot of the opening chances with Lyle Taylor getting a few opportunities too. So far weathered the early storm against a very good inform side even if they have a man short. And then it happens, another sending off this time for Mitchell Pinnock to even it up 10 a piece he gets a second yellow for an apparent dive on 33 mins? 

I knew this ref would be a cause for concern but although we hanging on for a point as we head to half time it would still put us bottom now that Bradford are leading. 

F/T Score – 2 - 0

Match Summary;
The second half continued with Charlton on top but failing to hit the net, the Dons hoping to give their travelling fans something to cheer, the referee doing his best to annoy both sets of supporters. Then on the hour the expected goal comes, and Lyle Taylor of course scores for the home side against us a clinical finish that we are missing. Plenty more bookings and no real sign of a comeback, it's beginning to look bleak for Wimbledon this season and the coup de gras is from Mark Marshall who scores a second for the hosts with a couple of minutes to go.

My Man of the Match – Lyle Taylor (Charlton) ... doing the job we miss most, scoring the crucial opening goal. Gutted.

Referee -- Our referee for this afternoon's big derby game will be Mr Trevor Kettle a firm favourite with the Dons fans is our Trevor ... it's going to be even more of an uphill struggle lets hope he's got his specs on. 

Attendance – 10,691. (1,048 Dons fans)

Next match:
Saturday 22nd December vs Wycombe Wanderers (Away)
League One 3:00pm 

Wednesday, 12 December 2018

KEMPTON PARK RACES 2018 -- WEDNESDAY NIGHTS #25 12th DECEMBER


KEMPTON PARK RACES 2018 -- WEDNESDAY NIGHTSThe evenings continue to draw in and get darker early, but the lights are on here always at Kempton on Wednesday.

Christmas is now less than two weeks away and at least the cards are sent and gifts bought ... but I do still hate Christmas. The appointment of Wally Downes as new AFC Wimbledon manager resulted in a 1-1 draw against Rochdale so we still a good six points away from the safety zone. 
We are ready for week number twenty five this is going to be the last Wednesday night flat meeting for 2018 with only the King George NH meeting on Boxing Day to follow. Has not been our finest year and we find ourselves down -70.2points to SP, shame but that's how it goes when you record to starting prices.

As we continue to focus on the handicap contests for each Wednesday evening meeting we will also occasionally include a feature listed or conditions event too if one is available. Keeping records of our endeavours to a 1 point level stake at SP, naturally we will personally be looking to get better odds than this but for the purpose of these results here we simply record SP returns only.

KEMPTON PARK RACES 2018 -- WEDNESDAY NIGHTS

We will keep up with our occasional lay opportunities of short priced favourites too. Naturally we will keep these results separately from the handicap figures, found a pair of losing selections last time therefore we moved onto a 66% rate 22/33 and as we come to the end of 2018 we at least keep accurate figures win or lose. 

This Wednesday is meeting number twenty five for the 2018 season and we are expecting an eight race card tonight with just the three handicaps this week we will also take in the 2yo Nursery event (16:15) for us to look through and enjoy the action which will commence at 15:40 with a six furlong novice contest.



Here's a link to this Wednesday's race card; RACECARD

The going on the polytrack surface is described as 'standard to slow' and the current weather forecast for this Wednesday is for a cold day with some cloud cover and a top temperature will only be about 7C by the time the meeting gets underway so please wrap up warm, take a hip flask too.

Here are our handicap selections for tonight;


16:15 -- 7f Nursery Handicap (2yo).

Our opening handicap is for 2yos and has a field of 14 headed by recent Southwell winner TIMES PAST. Might have it to do on this surface and with top weight but is resepected however we plan to take that on with the pair BLACK MEDICK [6th 12/1] (bit rude) from Richard Hannan's yard this filly was a big price runner up here in October so will be fine on the track. And we pair that with John Gosden's INTRICATE [4th 14/1] who hasn't set the world alight as yet but this filly is dropped in grade and has raced around here before so given another chance to show something.

18:15 -- 1m 2f 219y Handicap.

Eleven now for the next handicap on our card and while only SARYGHAGANN has the course and distance winning form that was last time out and looks bit too short in market for us. 

KING OF THE SAND [7th 8/1] has only had the one outing on the AW surface to date that was a midfield effort at Chelmsford but with bottom weight is selected with the Moore stable doing well on both flat and jumps. Pair that one with the filly  DORELLA [11th 16/1] who started off this time last year on the AW tracks here and at Wolves and a return to this venue might see some improvement.

18:45 -- 1m 7f 218y Handicap.

The stayers contests are always hard to rate as they might go no pace early and become a tactical sprint. The ten strong field is headed by MARQUISARD [2nd 10/1] a six year old a winner over hurdles, and second on a rare flat start at Goodwood so has to be considered even with top weight. CHAMPAGNE CHAMP [10th 5/1] hasn't been seen for a while but was rated in the 90s and has been busy is worth a punt if ready.

19:15 -- 7f Handicap.
Our finale for tonight (and indeed for our year here on the flat) has a max field of 14 and headed by the 9yo GOOD LUCK CHARM who is probably best followed at Brighton these days. 


Bottom weight VIOLA PARK [WON 11/4] is consistent here and a course distance winner so well worth a go off a mark of 52 having won off marks in the 60s before now. Handicap debutante KELLINGTON KITTY [14th 12/1] is a filly who might go better at this level for Rossa Ryan at a decent price too.


Staked -- 8 points.
Returns -- 3.75 points.

Results will appear here later on Wednesday night. Overall the losses are sadly increased to the current level of -70.22 points. Just one winner and that meant a loss of -4.25 tonight and that's back up to -74.47 for the season. Sad

LAYS -- 22/33 to date, beginning to get them beat regularly now, and if we have one or two Lays tonight they will be updated here also. Both lays lost which is nice, sends us to a season ending total of 24 from 35

Tonight's Lays;
16:45 - ALHAAZM [LOST 4th].
17:15 - FIGHTWITHME  [LOST 3rd].
2018 AW season at Kempton under the lights
This is our final flat meeting for this year but we will return on BOXING DAY for the courses big King George Chase NH Meeting on Wednesday 26th DECEMBER so hope to see you then and we'll be back during 2019 too.

Wednesday, 5 December 2018

KEMPTON PARK RACES 2018 -- WEDNESDAY NIGHTS #24 5th DECEMBER


KEMPTON PARK RACES 2018 -- WEDNESDAY NIGHTSThe evenings continue to draw in and get darker early, but the lights are on here always at Kempton on Wednesday.

Christmas is looming large next month and will soon need to get them cards and gifts sorted ( I hate Christmas ). The football news is that we ended the eight game losing run in the league by beating Southend 2-1 but then lost the next one to high flying Peterborough. A win in the FA Cup on Saturday against FC Halifax 3-1 puts us into the draw on Monday for the 3rd round and hopefully a big name away ....  alas not we get Fleetwood Town and there is finally an official announcement about a replacement for Neal Ardley welcome back Wally Downes and Glyn Hodges. Now come back to our regular Wednesday nights and somewhat glad I can come back to this 
blog as we continue to follow the progress of handicap races on the Wednesday night races here at Kempton Park racecourse in Surrey. We've not had the greatest year to date sadly and are falling behind now although it's a bit up and down this is now into the last few months as we reach meeting number twenty four. There are usually 4-5 handicap races covered and some Lay bets too with separate totals recorded to SP throughout the year. 


We are ready for week number twenty four, and as we push on into the latter part of the year we need to find that winning habit again as we need to recover and take a dent out of the losses to date since we find ourselves down -71
.72 points to SP, would be nice to continue turning this around and there is still a fair way to go we need some more winners soon and alas we record to starting prices.


As we continue to focus on the handicap contests for each Wednesday evening meeting we will also occasionally include a feature listed or conditions event too if one is available. Keeping records of our endeavours to a 1 point level stake at SP, naturally we will personally be looking to get better odds than this but for the purpose of these results here we simply record SP returns only.

KEMPTON PARK RACES 2018 -- WEDNESDAY NIGHTS

We will keep up with our occasional lay opportunities of short priced favourites too. Naturally we will keep these results separately from the handicap figures, having a disappointing time with these of late keep on finding winners, this season though means we are currently 20/31 going forwards with these for 2018 and we at least keep accurate figures win or lose. 

This Wednesday is meeting number twenty four for the 2018 season and we are expecting an eight race card tonight with four handicaps and a Listed Contest (18:30) for us to look through and enjoy the action which will commence at 15:55 with division one of the six furlong novice contest.



Here's a link to this Wednesday's race card; RACECARD

The going on the polytrack surface is described as 'standard to slow' and the current weather forecast for this Wednesday is for a dark and cloudy day we a decent chance of showery rain so might be best to stay in the bars between races (just a suggestion) but we can still have a good night even with the threat of rain a top temperature will be about 12C by the time the meeting gets underway.

Here are our handicap selections for tonight;


17:30 -- 1m Handicap.

Our first handicap is the 3rd race on the card over a mile where a field of 14 have been declared. And SUN HAT [12th 7/2] is one of those and having come here on a run of three wins should still be followed until maybe tried over a little further sets the standard and ought to be hard to beat. 

The one for the place bet is the bottom weight CRITICAL THINKING [3rd 14/1], gets all the weight and has a low draw might be able to keep up there and cause some trouble at the end.

18:00 -- 6f Handicap.
A class 2 handicap is much better than the usual Wednesday night offering and this field of ten is headed by TROPICS who in his earlier career would have been seen at class 1 level off much higher marks, is now a 10yo veteran but still capable of a good show. Not for us today but a good yardstick all the same. 

Our pair against the field are going to be DANZAN [3rd 3/1] from Andrew Balding and POLYBIUS [4th 7/2] a course and distance winner last time out for trainer David Simcock.

18:30 -- 1m 3f 219y Listed 'Wild Flower' Stakes.

Our feature tonight is a listed event over just under a mile and half, has attracted a field of 10 where recent friend PIPES OF PEACE [4th 7/1] lines up and is a 33/1 shot so might have a little bet each way here, priced collapsed before we got there, was big odds, then opened 12/1 before shortening to 7s. 

VERDANA BLUE [2nd 13/8] is also interesting a rare flat runner for Nicky Henderson a winner on the AW at Chelmsford and back here over hurdles which might be more her game in the long term - keep a look out in case she's back here over the Christmas meetings.

19:00 -- 1m 3f 219
y Handicap.
A fairly uninspiring bunch of out of form horses, yet something has to win, Paul Nicholls running a NH horse here is unusual and DIVINE BERE [LAY] wouldn't need to show much more than his win over a longer trip when last on the flat. Looks bit short in the betting though when surely needs further and some hurdles too. 

Jonjo O'Neill runs SPIRITUAL MAN [10th 8/1] here too but this one has been on the flat a fair bit and has winning form so very dangerous to all if on another going day. The consistent MAGIC MIRROR [WON 8/1] is giving another chance to win, has been running here regularly and gradually getting close, runner up last time might just make that experience tell.

19:30 -- 7f Handicap.
Our finale has another max field of 14 no shortage of runners to get into, top weight PAPA DELTA [WON 6/4F] is interesting having won two of his last four on the AW albeit at Lingfield and Chelmsford so could be dangerous here even with top weight. The 3yo GIVE EM A CLUMP [12th 20/1] has a 7lb claimer on now and might give this one a chance over this trip in a contest that does not look like it will take a lot of winning.


Staked -- 10 points.
Returns -- 11.5 points.

Results will appear here later on Wednesday night
. Overall the losses are sadly increased to the current level of -
71.72 points. A win at last, all of 1.5 point profit but hey small wins .... we just the sum of 
-70.22 behind now !!

LAYS -- 20/31 so far, beginning to get them beat regularly now, and if we have one or two Lays tonight they will be updated here also. After tonight's lays BOTH got beat we are now 22/33.

Tonight's Lays;
16:30 -- AL MESSILA.  LOST 2nd 11/4
19:00 -- DIVINE BERE. LOST 6th 5/1

2018 AW season at Kempton under the lights

Our next meeting here at Kempton Park will be held here next week on WEDNESDAY 12th DECEMBER so hope to see you then.