Wednesday, 11 November 2015

KEMPTON PARK RACES WEDNESDAY 11th NOVEMBER 2015


Good evening all today is Armistice Day so please pay your respects and ensure you've bought your poppy / or donated to the British Legion on the way in.

Moving towards the end of the year and we are still ahead with a small profit figure of +3.47. The Jumps season is now well under way and the AW season will carry on with more races at Lingfield, Wolves, Chelmsford and of course here at Kempton. 


I am sure that the Kempton staff are looking ahead to their big meeting of the whole year over Xmas but the weekly bread and butter meetings are just as important.

If we can keep in front for the whole year that'll be impressive enough for me whatever the final figure. Anyway lets crack on with tonight and target a few more winners across this line once again....




A link to tonight's race card can be found here;
http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/meeting/kempton-park/11-11-2015/fast-cards


Tonight is an 8 race card where only 3 of them handicaps to ponder over, so we shall also take in the valuable Conditions event at 19:40 too. Racing commences here at 16:35 with a 5f Handicap event and concludes at 20:10 with a 1m 3f handicap.



The going on the polytrack is Standard, and there is rain currently forecast during the evening and might still be some fog or mist closing in towards the end of the meeting. It'll be colder than usual too so wrap up.

Here we go with our selections for tonight's handicaps;


16:35 -- 5f Handicap
Our opening contest is a 5f sprint affair, 10 runners are declared we will cross out the two veterans We Have a Dream and Two Turtle Doves who should be vulnerable to something with a little more spring in their step. 


Our selection though will be QUANTUM DOT [WON 4/1], a course and distance winner back in February has had a prep run a couple of weeks ago and should be ready to strike again this winter off a low mark. 


17:10 -- 5f Handicap

Another sprint, another 10 declared, but this a class 3 event and some much better horses to peruse. 

Secret Missile won recently at Chelmsford and could be opposable under top weight and different course. I will pair the chances of DYNAMO WALT [5th 8/1] / COMPTON HEIGHTS [3rd 15/8F] against the field. Both have winning form but are stepping up in class a little but should be a reasonable price.


19:40 - 7f Conditions Stakes
Our feature race tonight is a 7f Conditions event, just the 7 will set off but despite the small field it's fairly competitive and a case could be made for all of them. 


The older horses should have the measure of the two 3yo's tonight and we'll side with CHOOKIE ROYALE [WON 7/4F] to see off Grey Mirage who may just need this run after a long lay off this year.


20:10 - 1m 3f Handicap
The finale is a 1m 3f contest where 14 line up for the starter, again I think I will ignore the three old timers here (Rezwaan, King Olav and Time Square) and concentrate on the youngsters. 


Clearly San Quentin is in great form and comes here on the back of Wolves hat-trick, but will be a short price for us and will oppose on basis that he'll prefer that surface and hasn't done as well here for a while. 

There's two at 20/1+ that I fancy and will take both BAKER [3rd 20/1and GOLLY MISS MOLLY [5th 14/1] against the field and will also back them for the place market too.

Well we might have missed the winner in the last but the place market bet paid off nicely. 

Staked -- 6 points
Returns -- 7.75 points so far

Good start with a nice opening winner in Quantum Dot at 4/1 then followed up with Chookie Royale winning the conditions event at 7/4F. This ensures a profit for tonight again and we picked up a few pennies in the place markets too now up +5.22



We'll return here next week on Wednesday 18th November.



The sun goes down ... thankfully the lights are on.

Saturday, 7 November 2015

FA CUP 1ST ROUND -- WIMBLEDON vs FOREST GREEN ROVERS SAT 7th NOVEMBER 2015



It's FA CUP FIRST ROUND Day this weekend and the draw has given us a HOME tie which was nice but sadly it's against the current leaders of the conference FOREST GREEN ROVERS.

Normally you would expect to do OK against a Conference side but these guys are high on form and confidence and will come to Kingsmeadow fancying their chances of an upset. Last weekends win against Chester came after a couple of defeats to Tranmere Rovers and Eastleigh.



So we will be there to cheer on the boys in Yellow and Blue to more FA Cup glory ... we are coming on the back of three wins so confidence should be high too, if we can get a run to the round three and a possible money spinner that will help with the funds needed for the new stadium. However lets get ourselves through round one first eh.

Updates will be published with team news and more as and when it comes through. Looks like no Akinfenwa today not even on the bench so hopefully the Taylor, Elliot front line can strike and then bring on Azeez later. 



Line Ups (confirmed);




AFC WIMBLEDON

Odds -- Evens (William Hill) 





Wilson (Gk),  Fuller (c), Osborne,  Robinson,  Meades,  Kennedy,  Rigg,  Bulman,  Reeves,  Taylor,  Elliot

Subs – McDonnell (gk),  Sweeney
 Beere,  Azeez,  Gallagher,  Kaja,  Toonga  



FOREST GREEN ROVERS

Odds -- 3/1 (William Hill) 






Arnold (Gk),  Bennett,  Clough,  Jennings,  Racine,  Sinclair,  Wedgbury,  Carter,  Marsh-Brown,  Frear,  Parkin   

Subs – Pipe,  
Jones,  Kelly,  Guthrie,  Bender,  Baldwin,  Maxtead

 

H/T Score – 1 - 1

First Half Comment;
Well that's wasn't the plan, a defensive slip allows Forest Green's Darren Carter to score after 6 mins. Come on Dons wake up. 


The Dons had a chance to get back on level terms but Sean Riggs header was easily saved and they still trail by that early goal. 

Dons have a period of pressure which pays off with an equaliser by Callum Kennedy in 25 mins, game on now with the home side beginning to get on top as the first half develops, lets make it count now.


F/T Score – 1 - 2

Match Summary;
Last min goal for FGR and we're out of the cup. 1-2 rubbish. 

Will make for a quite December I suppose and a free weekend with no game. Useless. 


Man of the Match – No One.


Referee -- Graham Horwood (Luton).

Appointed a Football League ref in 2011 but kicked out after a year, then reinstated after two years. Taken charge of 3 Wombles games; the 2-0 away defeat to Exeter in 2013 (4Y), 0-0 draw with Plymouth 2014 (2Y - and he went off injured at HT) & the 2-1 away loss to Stevanage in Jan (2Y). Reffed Forest Green 6 times (W1 D2 L3).


Attendance – 2,465.


Next match:
Sunday 15th November vs Portsmouth (Away)
League Two 2:30pm
LIVE on SKY SPORTS


Wednesday, 4 November 2015

KEMPTON PARK RACES WEDNESDAY 4th NOVEMBER 2015


Good evening all and welcome to November, where has this year gone already?

Moving towards the end of the year and we are still ahead with a small profit figure of +5.22. The Jumps season is now well under way and the AW season will carry on with more races at Lingfield, Wolves, Chelmsford and of course here at Kempton. Although I am sure that the Kempton staff are looking ahead to their big meeting of the whole year over Xmas
.


If we can keep in front for the whole year that'll be impressive enough for me whatever the final figure. Anyway lets crack on with tonight and target a few more winners across this line once again....




A link to tonight's race card can be found here;
http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/meeting/kempton-park/04-11-2015/fast-cards

Tonight is an 8 race card with only 3 of them handicaps to ponder over, so we shall also take in the valuable Listed event at 19:10 too. Racing commences here at 16:40 with a 2m Handicap event and concludes at 20:10 with a 1m 4f handicap

The going on the polytrack is Standard to Slow, and there is rain currently forecast during the day and might still be some fog or mist closing in towards the end of the meeting. It'll be colder than usual too so wrap up.

Here we go with our selections for tonight's handicaps;


16:40 - 2m Handicap (3yo)

Our opening contest is a stayers event over 2m, 9 declared but there is little to prove that any of these are capable of staying the trip, there are no distance winners here yet something will have to come out on top. 

DUCHESS OF MARMITE (WON 9/4F) did at least get placed here last week over 12f and seemed to be doing her best work towards the end, it is possible therefore that this trip could be within her capability, but seems a short price for what has been achieved so far. We will back it to win in the absence of much realistic opposition. 

At a price of around 25/1 WILLOW JUBILEE (8th 50/1) has been campaigned around the different AW courses and over this sort of trip and while fairly one paced at least seems to stay and has placed on a few occasions. She receives weight for all her opponents and therefore could well be a bit of value for the place market / ew play tonight.



19:10 - 1m 4f Listed Stakes 
The feature race on the card is a 12f listed contest, and a good field of 9 runners are declared, of interest are the recent winners HAMELIN and SWEET P

They are progressing from Handicap company so I will be following the in-form FIRE FIGHTING (4th 4/1) as our selection since he's already taken a listed event recently and has been  campaigned both here in the UK and in Ireland. 

Already proven on the AW surface winning at Dundalk and Chelmsford and can give these a good run for your money.


19:40 - 1m 4f Handicap
An event that kind of revolves around the Godolphin runner MOVIE SET (2nd 5/4F), has only run the once, winning an Ascot maiden comfortably and steps into Handicap company and tackles an extra 2 furlongs, seems a reasonable mark to begin with and the opposition don't look that special. 

PERCY VEER (Non Runner) could be one for the place market, have run on to take fourth here over this trip, a repeat should be enough to get into the frame. 

20:10 - 1m 4f Handicap (3yo)
We finish off the evening with yet another 12f event, the lack of variety tonight is shocking. This is restricted to 3yo's only and they are a poor bunch overall. Only Azure Amour has a win to his name but doesn't seem to get this trip. 

Fleetwood Poppy went close last time out but seems unlikely to stay and repeat that effort here, so I am going to take a risk on GRAND FACILE (4th 7/2) who was backed for his last contest here over 1m 2f and might improve a little for another step up in trip against a very poor bunch. 



Staked -- 6 points
Returns -- 4.25 points


Results will be updated later on tonight. Lost 1.75pts tonight


We'll return here next week on Wednesday 11th November.


The sun goes down ... thankfully the lights are on.