Monday, 26 January 2015

KEMPTON PARK RACES WEDNESDAY 28th JANUARY 2015

After another winning meeting last week we come into this Wednesday full of expectation. Oh and a profit of +33 points too. 

Shows that the strategy of picking on the handicap races can be worthwhile, we will stick with this through the AW season and will be a nice filler until the real flat season begins. Our Pontefract system will begin again then, the first meeting of their new season will be on Tuesday 7th April and more information will appear nearer the time.

Wednesday night is a 6 race card with 5 handicaps for us to get stuck into, a link to the race cards can be found below and the opening race begins under the lights at 16:45;

http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/meeting/kempton-park/28-01-2015/fast-cards

16:45 - 7f Handicap -- They turn out Twilight Angel again quickly after an improved effort here last week finishing 5th at 50/1, is much shorter tonight so swerved for a chance on WINDY MILLER in his first handicap has a very low mark and looks worth a go to see what he can do in this weak company. [4th 16/1]

17:15 - 1m 4f Handicap -- Will be interesting to see if DANCE FOR LIVVY retains any ability after an absense of 2 years, has a basement mark as a result of that enforced holiday but is only 7yo and could still have a future in handicaps. [12th 50/1]

18:15 - 7f Handicap -- Only the 8 declared for this event, and the 2 outsiders Dutiful Son and Seek The Fair Land were well behind last time out and cant really make a case for their sudden change of fortune. We'll side with top weight CORPORAL MADDOX instead. [7th 12/1]

18:45 - 1m Handicap [3yo's London Mile Qualifier] -- 4 runner handicap on the AW what is racing coming to ? GREATEST JOURNEY won comfortably last time and should go in again as long as the race is true run and not a 2f sprint. [WON 8/11]

19:15 - 6f Handicap [3yo's only] -- Trainer runs both Military Music and MISU PETE with the latter an interesting selection off bottom weight here, was hampered last time which wouldn't have helped and with a better ride might get closer now trying his luck at Handicapping. [WON 25/1]

WOW What a week it's been, and yet again the last race of the day pops up with the big winner. With these results added to our carried over profit we now stand at a very healthy +55.72 points to a 1pt level stake at SP, the returns on Betfair were much better having matched Misu Pete at 50s earlier on.

Stick with us on Wednesday nights -- under the lights is the place to be. Until next week...  


Tuesday, 20 January 2015

KEMPTON PARK RACES WEDNESDAY 21st JANUARY 2015

ONCE MORE UNTO THE BREACH DEAR FRIENDS, ONCE MORE ... YES IT'S ANOTHER WEDNESDAY SO ALL READY FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF AW RACING UNDER THE LIGHTS AT KEMPTON PARK.

THIS WILL BE THEIR THIRD FLAT MEETING OF 2015 AND THE RACE CARD CAN BE FOUND AT THE FOLLOWING URL PATH;

http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/meeting/kempton-park/21-01-2015/fast-cards

WITH THE DIVISION OF THE FINAL RACE TONIGHT WE'VE A BUMPER 6 HANDICAP RACES ON THIS 8 RACE CARD SO WE ARE IN FOR A BUSY EVENING WHICH WILL GET UNDERWAY AT 16:30;


16:30 - 6f Handicap - TWINLIGHT ANGEL [forecast odds 33/1] finished 5th at 50/1 showing signs of improvement given it had a wide draw I expect to see this one out again at Kempton soon.



18:00 - 1m 4f Handicap - HERMOSA VAQUERA [forecast odds 40/1] finished 8th 66/1.

18:30 - 6f Handicap - GALAGO [forecast odds 25/1] finished 6th 33/1

19:00 - 1m Handicap - NEWTON BOMB [forecast odds 25/1] finished 13th 50/1

19:30 - 1m Handicap [Div1] - TIGER STONE [forecast odds 33/1] finished 6th 25/1

20:00 - 1m Handicap [Div2] - JACKPOT [forecast odds 33/1] WON 25/1 GET IN

As usual we are aiming for some reasonable outsiders in the handicaps, all of the above are available about 25/1 or better and we can make use of the place markets too, just one place gives us a profit. 

Had to wait till the finale to get a result but what a result and that's another profitable night out this year, +20 points profit to a level stake at SP was considerably better on the exchanges. 

C/F + 33 points this year.

Friday, 16 January 2015

ASCOT NH CARD SATURDAY 17th JANUARY 2015

Making a rare appearance at a NH venue this season to even out the gaps in the AW service (to paraphrase the announcer on London Underground).

This weekend it's ASCOT that will fill the gap left vacant by the lack of an evening meeting at Wolves. 
Looks a good card with Sprinter Sacre the star attraction at 3pm (assuming it's on as loads of bad weather forecast this week), wrap up warm and don't forget to fill that hip flask too. 

Overnight declarations on Friday will allow us to put up some selections for the weekend. Racing is due to begin at 12:40 and it's a 7 race card which can be found at the following location;

http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/meeting/ascot/17-01-2015/fast-cards

Here we go with our selections for the meeting;

12:40 - Poor turnout of 4 runners, the odds on fav TOP NOTCH looks a shoe in with a clear round but we'll have a small bet on MAXIE T instead and see if the forecast can be collected too. [3rd 25/1]

1:15 - Again a small field of just 5 but at least it's more competitive with very little to differentiate between them all. VIVACCIO is top rated and carries 11-8 as a result, so might find it tricky to concede a stone to CLONDAW DRAFT from the McCain yard. [4th 10/1]

1:50 - If this race was being run at Kempton it would look really good for CAROLE'S SPIRIT but away from there she's not the same beast it seems. IF MISCHIEVOUS MILLY stays the 3m trip then will take the world of beaten, I think she will in this company. [8th 5/1]

2:25 - LYVIUS for Henderson and Geraghty next up, but don't discount their other runner off a low weight ONE LUCKY LADY, on the basis of form it can't win but the yard have an annoying habit of doing well with their second strings in races. [7th 20/1] 

3:00 - The race of the day now with SPRINTER SACRE back in action, is shade of odds on but reports this week suggest it hasn't been backed. A race to watch and if anything is going to turn over the good horse it'll probably be DODGING BULLETS [NAP] from Paul Nicholls yard. TWINLIGHT from Ireland is also very interesting but Bullets looks the one today. [WON 7/2]

3:35 - A dozen runners at last a decent field, NICEONEFRANKIE is seeking a hat-trick of wins here and should go well from the front, King Edmund is a grand old servert but the 12 shouldn't be up to winning in this grade now, and preference is for BOBCATBILLY with Barry Geraghty an interesting booking.

4:05 - And back to a small field to end on where OUT SAM is odds on to win another novice event with a penalty but I will side with REMIND ME LATER for the Moore stable shame only the 7 runners else the place option would be more flexible.

Results will appear here later on