Tuesday, 9 December 2014

KEMPTON PARK WEDNESDAY EVENING FIXTURE -- WED 10th DECEMBER 2014

Brr it's another cold Wednesday again so wrap up warm and don't forget your hip flask as we pop off to Kempton Park for our regular midweek racing fix;

http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/meeting/kempton-park/10-12-2014/fast-cards


Tonight sees a 7 race card beginning at 15:40 with our first Handicap contest. There are only 3 Handicaps for us tonight as the card is dominated by maiden events.

Put your thermals on and don't forget your scarf n gloves.


15:40 7f Handicap [3yo only] -- NAVAJO DREAM, finished 4th in an apprentice event here last month, same jockey booked today and only beaten a length overall. Forecast odds 20/1 will give then another chance off bottom weight here. [7th 16/1]



18:20 1m 3f Handicap -- CHAPTER AND VERSE, winner at Leicester earlier in the campaign and tried over the AW at Wolves last time out staying on the take 4th. Is a big price for this, might be able to take the leap up in trip on a different type of AW surface, hence 33/1 forecast odds. [10th 50/1]


18:50 2m Handicap -- PURPLE SPECTRUM, finished 2nd at Newmarket on only try at this trip, and has won his maiden over 1m 2f before taking a race at Sandown over 1m 6f so 2m should be well within his compass. Stayed on strongly at the Esher track and going away to win by 3 1/2L is forecast to go off about 20/1 which seems generous though it's 6/1 the field so wide open event. [2nd 25/1]



Results will appear here on Wednesday evening, and our next meeting is on Saturday from Wolverhampton.



Saturday, 6 December 2014

WOLVERHAMPTON SATURDAY EVENING FIXTURE - 6th DECEMBER


Looking ahead to the regular Saturday evening fixture at Wolverhampton.

http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/meeting/wolverhampton/06-12-2014/fast-cards


Tonight's 7 race card gets underway with our first handicap contest over 7f at 18:15. We have 4 handicaps to look through ;


18:15 - 7f 32yds Handicap - SPELLMAKER has the inside stall to help get a good position and a few bits of placed form [3rd at Bath last time] might be time to strike at forecast 20/1 odds worth a look at least to place. Non Runner


19:45 - 2m 119yds Handicap - DUKES DEN. Small field for the marathon handicap contest selection has done nearly all his racing on AW surfaces to date, going off big prices and now gets a chance in a handicap. WON 8/1

Yorkshireman definitely stays and will go off Fav, Royal Trooper will be a danger to him if getting the extra trip, but we'll go for the one at the bigger odds. 

20:15 - 1m 6f Handicap - COOL SKY is the pick in another small field but competitive staying handicap. Godolphin have the fav in Personal Opinion but I don't see many of there's going in multiple times over the winter usually one is enough. David Pipe has an interesting horse with Unaminite who has contested hurdle events at Cheltenham and Aintree so is highly thought off but was beaten at odds on at the latter venue. 

COOL SKY has 7 wins from 30 runs and an overall win profit of +11.75 to a level stake, the % call is with him with a good win/place strike rate too the 16/1 on offer would be even stronger if there weren't just the 7 runners. 4th 10/1

20:45 - 1m 1f Handicap - STEEL STOCKHOLDER this selection is based on an assumption that the change of jockey will bring about some level of improvement, has small bits and pieces of placed form from much higher in the weights and when last off this mark did win and place (albeit 2 years ago ... I did say it was only an assumption) WON 25/1

Well what a night, 2 great winners and one close miss, another 32+ points profit at SP and much better returns on the exchanges -- our next event is next Wednesday at Kempton Park. Hope you enjoying a great weekend.


Tuesday, 2 December 2014

KEMPTON PARK WEDNESDAY EVENING FIXTURE -- WED 3rd DECEMBER 2014


It's Wednesday again so quickly off we trot to Kempton Park for our regular midweek venue;



http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/meeting/kempton-park/03-12-2014/fast-cards


Sticking with the Handicaps tonight and it's a feast this week with the last 5 races all falling to our grasps, we've three to look at again across this eight race card which will get under-way with another maiden event at 3.50, our first handicap event is at 5.20 running through to the end of the card at 7.20. 

5.20 1m 4f (Div I) -- LITTLE RED NELL, lightly raced mare would have found the trip and track difficult at Brighton last time, been off 200+ days, has AW form albeit not exceptional. Hence the 40/1 forecast odds [9th 66/1]


5.50 1m 4f (Div II) -- GLOS LAST, forecast was about 20/1 but seems to be the market leader at 7/2? Too short for me in this thread, must have shown plenty at home to warrant that level of interest. [WON 15/8!!]

6.20 1m 3f -- TOP DIKTAT, winner of 4 in a row earlier in season it's likely the handicapper is in control now. But it's a small field and he has won over this trip though tailed off last time as if something amiss, can't have been injured if out again so soon. Given one more chance. Outsider of 6 at 20/1

6.50 7f -- MORNA'S GLORY, Only the three runs this year, has bits of better form when seen couple of seasons ago, leap of faith that she's still got some ability for new trainer, huge price 66/1 chance taken that AW helps rekindle an effort. [7th 100/1]

7.20 6f -- SWENDAB, beaten 10l on last outing here under same claiming jockey, faith in this veteran of 50+ races that was their 1st go on the AW for over a year and can pop up at decent odds (winner of 7 events, placed in 9 others so near 30% record of reaching the frame) 

Has been placed regularly off this sort of handicap mark so Forecast odds 40/1 are appealing while rated in the low 60's or less. [11th 33/1] Not our day today. 

Update again on Wednesday evening, have a good night and wrap up warm.