Wednesday, 6 September 2017

KEMPTON PARK RACES 2017 -- WEDNESDAY NIGHTS #23 6th SEPTEMBER

Welcome to our twenty third meeting of 2017 here at Kempton Park and after another disappointing losing week last time out we head into the last quarter of the year down by the sum of -37.045 points to level stakes at SP. Losing about 4 points a month throughout the season isn't that terrible (ok, yes it is) and I think we'd be a bit better off than we are with the number of winners that we pick up since January by taking early prices online however we record to SP and that will remain. It will be interesting to see how the final part of the year goes now.

As we continue to focus on the handicap contests for each meeting we will also occasionally include a feature listed or conditions event too. Keeping records of our endeavours to a 1pt level stake at SP, naturally we will personally be looking to get better odds but for the purpose of these results here we simply record to SP returns.


We will keep up with our occasional lay opportunities of short priced favourites too, we were successful with our last selection, another beaten favourite, and we will see if there is another selection for tonight. Naturally we will keep these results separately from the handicap figures. 

This Wednesday is our twenty third meeting for 2017 and we are expecting a eight race card tonight with five handicaps to enjoy, tonight's action will commence at 17:20 with a 7f Handicap. 

Here's a link to this Wednesday's race card; RACECARD




The going on the polytrack surface is described as 'standard' and the current weather forecast is for a mix of cloudy and outbreaks of sunshine throughout the day looks like September might be fairly pleasant. Expecting a max temperature of about 17C when the meeting gets underway.

Here are our selections for this evenings five handicaps tonight
;


17:20 -- 7f Handicap (Div One).

The opening event on the card has been divided to give us an eight race meeting. It's a low grade contest but two divisions of fourteen are declared. In division one, which will take place 30 mins earlier than expected, and we will chance the low drawn pair of CHAMPAGNE FREDDIE [8th 14/1] and MORELLO [5th 2/1] against the field.

17:55 -- 7f Handicap (Div Two).

The second division is a little more open and has a few previous winners available too, last time out APPEASE [Non Runner] was able to win at Yarmouth and has plenty of AW experience but maybe that win will spark him into some self belief and worth a chance here. 

ARCANISTA [3rd 4/1] was close last time out at Carlisle and was runner up here off a 7lb higher mark so another at decent price with a chance and has top jockey on board too replacing the Amateur rider from last outing.

19:55 -- 1m Fillies Handicap.

A field of 13 ladies next for us, and aiming for a big price winner here with NARJES [2nd 11/4, expecting bigger than that] this James Fanshawe trained filly has only a few runs, all bar one on the all weather and placed several times, can go better, and in amongst her own worth a look. 

Similarly the profile of SCALA REIGA [3rd 14/1] is interesting, won at Newcastle and then here in a 1m race at a decent price and against is forecast about 14/1 which for a Sir Mark Prescott filly you would be surprised to see. Did finish last on her previous outing but that was over 2f further and was eased 3f out but appears again only a couple of weeks later so we take our chances again. 

20:25 -- 1m 3f 219y Handicap.
SPINNERS BALL [Non Runner] is our first interest here, didn't like Brighton at all but wouldn't be the first to find that course a bit difficult and prior to that was down the field in a better contest at Ascot. If you look past those events then you will see that he won here and also at Windsor and only 2lb higher. 

Similar profile for RUBENSIAN [7th 14/1] who was found out at Yarmouth and Brighton but has some winning form here and won on this card last September, runs off a similar mark tonight and has the stall 1 draw.

20:55 -- 1m 7f 218y Handicap.
Our finale tonight and the stayers take the stage, lowly class six event so not much in evidence those that have won haven't backed it up and there are plenty here with little to recommend them. 

Top weight SEE AND BE SEEN [9th 12/1] has a number of runners up spots in his form and generally runs his race, off a similar mark to last run here though and given another chance. Add that with the filly FRANNY NISBIT [WON 14/1] who has only had a few chances and quickly stepped up in trip. Didn't do much at Goodwood over 2m last time but that was a better class of contest and could be seen in a better light here tonight.


Staked -- 10 points.
Returns -- 17 point. 

Results will appear later tonight. Currently we have a deficit of -37.045 points that we bring forward to this round of racing. Hurrah the losing streak is over and thanks to the winner in the lucky last  (and 2 non runners) we have a 7 point reduction in our losses. Now we are 
showing a deficit of -30.045 points that we take forth to the next meeting.


LAYS -- After last week's successful lay of another favourite we now stand at 10 from 14 successful lays for this season, just 4 wrong all at short odds. Will update here later if we find another selection for tonight.





Our next meeting here at Kempton Park on Wednesday 13th September.

No comments:

Post a Comment