Last week we dropped another 7 points which has quickly taken us up to -24 points loss overall. Hopefully after an Easter break and with no other distractions we can get back on track. At least the places paid a little bit and the LAY bets are also still losing (or winning, depending on your view) things will turn in our favour soon I'm certain.
As always our focus will be on the handicap contests for each meeting but will occasionally include a feature listed or conditions event too. Keeping records of our endeavours to a 1pt level stake at SP, naturally we will personally be looking to get better odds but for the purpose of the results we record to SP.
We will keep up with our occasional lay opportunity of short priced favourites and as a result of yet another successful lay last week we have a success rate of 6 from 6. Results for this will be kept separately too and hopefully we can remain at 100% for a long while yet.
This week there's a 7 race card on offer, 5 of which are handicaps and the meeting gets under-way at 17:45 with a 7f maiden event and our opening handicap will be off at 18:15 again over 7f.
Here is a link to the evenings race card;
http://www.sportinglife.com/racing/meeting/kempton-park/06-04-2016/fast-cards
The going on the polytrack surface as usual is described as Standard and the current weather forecast is for a patchy day with some clouds and small chance of the odd shower however its a nice evening and the temperature is likely to remain at about 14C in the evening.
Here are our selections for this weeks handicaps;
18:15 -- 7f Handicap.
The second race on the card is our opening handicap event and there's some top yards represented here tonight.
John Gosden runs DANGEROUS THOUGHT [N/R] and Andrew Balding has VISCOUNT BARFIELD [WON 4/1] both ran in the same maiden event here a few weeks ago and there's unlikely to be much between them again tonight.
19:15 -- 1m 3f Handicap (3yo).
Not a huge amount to go on as most only have a few bits of 2yo maiden form to speak of.
The likes of Frivolous Prince and Zebedee's Son have had enough chances to win but always found at least one too good, I will be chancing the pair HARRY'S ENDEAVOUR [6th 10/1] / FRENCH LEGEND [7th 9/1] to show some improvement for the step into Handicap company.
19:45 -- 1m 3f Handicap.
Just the 6 here for this event, and features our next LAY bet with LORD GEORGE [LOST 2nd 6/4F] the paper fav, winner of a Wolves maiden over a mile last year, steps up in class and trip and while possibly plenty of improvement expected has to be taken on here first time out.
Dual course winner JAZZY [5th 12/1] has already won a maiden and a handicap this term, so fitness and the ability to both see the trip out as well as acting on the surface is already proven and we'll back this colt along with laying the fav.
20:15 -- 6f Handicap.
Our sprint handicap can go to the consistent AW performer PYROCLASTIC [9th 6/1], who's a regular here and at Lingfield and while hasn't been in front that often is not usually very far away apart from one poor effort at Lingfield.
May have only been 8th last time here but was only 2L behind the winner in a big bunch finish and should be a reasonable price along with veteran NOVERRE TO GO [8th 25/1] who despite being a 10yo now and closing in on a century of runs still retains a fair bit of ability at this level. Placed at Brighton and Nottingham last year, had a couple of runs this season and dropped a few pounds so has possibilities.
20:45 -- 1m Handicap.
The concluding handicap has 14 declared, BOOKMAKER [4th 8/1] has won 5 races including around here in February, only a few pounds higher and could still have another race in him, should be thereabouts.
The 11yo PALACE MOON [8th 12/1] has won better races in the past but still retains some ability winning at Lingfield a month ago, is a decent price and could be worth another go tonight.
Staked -- 9 points
Returns -- 6 points (*so far, 4/1 winner and N/r in the 18:15).
Loss c/f -- -27 Points
Lays -- 7/7 (Still 100%, another beaten fav tonight).
Tonight's results are in and it's another lose sadly, only -3 but it's adding up to -27 points down for the season so far. On the positive side though the LAY was successfully and that's still going well getting the short favourites beaten.
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